Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe11a8741d5cdec6a7348c6d03567233a2e64b68cc170edfbed093394fa8fb203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,755$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.98 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 18c | 1,004$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.72 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 26c | 582.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 42c | 472$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 325.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 272.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 59c | 255.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 41c | 241.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 37c | 136.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Yes | 56c | 132.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 59c | 88.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 17c | 82.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 60c | 77.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 67.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…3dadbacked Yes | 60c | 64.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…0658backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 44c | 51.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 43.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 55c | 41.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 46c | 39.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 41c | 32.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…1924backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…05c6backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 59c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 50c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…b88ebacked Yes | 59c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)AFC Bournemouth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.