Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f2306b9dfbfbd77c92c88d60895e40643c05bc42fc19f11d1ba0a31d2e5170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc8c…dbefbacked No | 1c | 21,866$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed No | 8c | 9,893$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.14 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…72a6backed No | 0c | 7,608$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 124 | 29%36 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked No | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 76c | 4,353$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.5 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 73c | 4,179$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.11 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed No | 1c | 4,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…3cf1backed No | 4c | 4,000$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 26c | 3,729$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.3 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 73c | 3,506$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.04 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed No | 6c | 3,109$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 72c | 3,013$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.9 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,698$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.94 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,616$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.21 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked No | 40c | 2,605$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 4c | 2,233$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 34c | 2,183$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.26 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 38c | 2,112$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.06 | 73 | 71.2%52 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 77c | 2,072$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.63 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 51c | 1,997$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.25 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 25c | 1,935$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.26 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed No | 63c | 1,862$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.65 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe133…6994backed No | 14c | 1,800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 24c | 1,750$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.19 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 1,742$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.93 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 73c | 1,726$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.67 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Yes | 71c | 1,668$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.49 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked No | 21c | 1,637$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.91 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed No | 21c | 1,578$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 58c | 1,521$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.55 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,513$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.82 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,476$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…765abacked Yes | 76c | 1,475$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.82 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked No | 22c | 1,462$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.26 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 40c | 1,306$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.06 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 79c | 1,290$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…f83abacked Yes | 76c | 1,284$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…2154backed No | 26c | 1,187$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked No | 16c | 1,163$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,122$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 70c | 1,023$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Yes | 48c | 1,022$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.23 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…9233backed Yes | 58c | 976.25$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.55 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…bd8ebacked No | 9c | 966.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 62c | 919.6$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.28 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 22c | 900.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…cb18backed No | 38c | 844.18$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.37 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 54c | 837.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.85 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…eb72backed Yes | 80c | 835.67$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 826$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.2 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 43c | 809.41$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.2 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…9c62backed Yes | 38c | 801.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 53c | 788.08$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.33 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 22c | 764.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…00e8backed Yes | 79c | 763.53$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed No | 27c | 748.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 68c | 709.39$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes | 57c | 698.04$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.18 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes | 65c | 650.81$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 177 | 28.2%50 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 78c | 621.41$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…7579backed Yes | 41c | 620.6$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.56 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes | 54c | 618.17$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 325 | 29.2%95 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…d5a6backed No | 32c | 612.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 47c | 609.62$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…5a66backed No | 19c | 602.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 58c | 599.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 25c | 586.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 61c | 579.92$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…5f22backed Yes | 79c | 578.14$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 34c | 548.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…9eaabacked Yes | 60c | 506.5$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…9d4bbacked No | 11c | 491.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 38c | 480.4$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 64c | 476.12$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…66a8backed Yes | 51c | 475.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.02 | 201 | 29.4%59 W · 142 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 471.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed No | 27c | 454$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…1b38backed Yes | 41c | 446.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 441.77$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked No | 12c | 408.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 73c | 405.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20d…d518backed No | 52c | 402.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…1963backed Yes | 80c | 400$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…6222backed No | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 8c | 400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes | 76c | 385.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…77e1backed No | 58c | 383.2$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 59c | 359.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…0d39backed No | 14c | 345.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4982…fe01backed Yes | 74c | 342.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…06edbacked Yes | 70c | 341.31$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes | 77c | 329.7$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…b14fbacked Yes | 49c | 309.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…3c9fbacked No | 63c | 307.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.