CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fec33ed05898710a1d422470615f7f0880191d767a513f1427dcadaca9951c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $841,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,007,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Spirit | 60c | 139,246$83,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,698.58 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 118,580$47,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,427.35 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed MOUZ | 22c | 100,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Spirit | 78c | 82,461$64,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,141.45 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Spirit | 61c | 43,090$26,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,805.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed MOUZ | 39c | 34,777$13,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,562.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 40c | 27,439$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed MOUZ | 39c | 16,632$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.52 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Spirit | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 18c | 12,128$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.89 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…a50ebacked Spirit | 80c | 10,063$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…b42cbacked MOUZ | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 61c | 8,791$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.44 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Spirit | 61c | 8,572$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.08 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit | 61c | 8,307$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.64 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…0494backed MOUZ | 39c | 8,272$3,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Spirit | 61c | 8,000$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.97 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 60c | 7,867$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.37 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed MOUZ | 40c | 7,721$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.4 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Spirit | 61c | 7,000$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Spirit | 61c | 6,857$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 60c | 6,690$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.99 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked MOUZ | 38c | 6,458$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.89 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.98 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Spirit | 62c | 5,532$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.38 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 35c | 5,110$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.7 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…5baebacked MOUZ | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Spirit | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 4,909$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 39c | 4,740$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.6 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit | 61c | 4,233$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.74 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Spirit | 60c | 4,100$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Spirit | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Spirit | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed Spirit | 62c | 3,836$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.66 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 27c | 3,575$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 31c | 3,547$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.22 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Spirit | 71c | 3,479$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 19c | 3,468$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.92 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ | 32c | 3,412$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Spirit | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 77c | 3,127$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.51 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…61f9backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5f2cbacked Spirit | 73c | 2,903$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Spirit | 68c | 2,814$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.14 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,603$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ | 27c | 2,574$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.03 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Spirit | 62c | 2,457$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.82 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Spirit | 62c | 2,444$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.64 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Spirit | 63c | 2,435$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.06 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,402$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.62 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Spirit | 60c | 2,380$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed Spirit | 61c | 2,303$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.11 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 2,241$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.99 | 293 | 47.1%138 W · 155 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…ba88backed Spirit | 62c | 2,186$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 38c | 2,157$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.01 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 78c | 2,129$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.07 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Spirit | 62c | 2,095$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.16 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Spirit | 72c | 1,876$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.8 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Spirit | 60c | 1,854$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.48 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,816$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.49 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Spirit | 61c | 1,780$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.1 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,760$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 187 | 24.1%45 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,639$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.36 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…a37bbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,639$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.02 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Spirit | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…6d93backed Spirit | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ | 22c | 1,594$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 62c | 1,574$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.19 | 253 | 61.3%155 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,518$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.78 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,450$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.26 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,280$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Spirit | 61c | 1,210$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Spirit | 77c | 1,082$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 355 | 45.1%160 W · 195 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Spirit | 61c | 1,075$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,065$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.42 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Spirit | 60c | 1,015$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Spirit | 78c | 1,013$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,010$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.58 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…ce61backed Spirit | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked MOUZ | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Spirit | 70c | 945.94$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MOUZ | 39c | 943.59$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed MOUZ | 40c | 925$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.