CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda030166ed2dec982765f63be7b5cbd2f06f0f6008ca2a05fd167fafb2d8f2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 65c | 1,743$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.26 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Spirit | 35c | 739.56$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.68 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Spirit | 39c | 547.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…ddcbbacked Spirit | 35c | 437.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Spirit | 46c | 372.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.63 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…6e17backed Spirit | 35c | 353.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 63c | 302.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.28 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed MOUZ | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked MOUZ | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 60c | 247.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Spirit | 35c | 168.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…15f3backed Spirit | 46c | 135.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Spirit | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Spirit | 37c | 86.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Spirit | 40c | 62.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Spirit | 25c | 46.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…04f8backed MOUZ | 75c | 46.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac6e…3ee0backed Spirit | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…2b7ebacked Spirit | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed MOUZ | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked MOUZ | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.