TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ43c22,787$9,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,783.683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit57c11,111$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.7326351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked MOUZ0c10,801$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4513315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ19c10,191$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.992,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit75c10,028$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.313065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ14c8,646$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.433839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ14c7,587$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.0322927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ14c7,500$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.771,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed MOUZ45c7,300$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Spirit58c6,310$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.578758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58046149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ43c5,500$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.9835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit58c5,408$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.6322354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ20c4,999$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.931,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Spirit56c4,744$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.299349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit54c4,558$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.4846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit57c4,193$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.9865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ40c3,671$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.5281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ46c3,525$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.0781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ12c3,094$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.723,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ42c2,719$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5715347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit55c2,616$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.3142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed MOUZ4c2,589$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.448416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked MOUZ2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ36c2,278$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked MOUZ5c2,148$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Spirit55c2,145$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.3441850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Spirit72c2,050$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed MOUZ8c1,894$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9517548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ12c1,614$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6326046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ45c1,544$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ45c1,341$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.3864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Spirit79c1,261$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8815970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ41c1,250$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.510335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ12c1,248$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.483,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13e…aa0bbacked Spirit67c1,137$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit75c1,106$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Spirit56c1,103$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.1121055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Spirit55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed MOUZ45c999.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9910538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93d1…1a38backed MOUZ10c880$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Spirit57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1932653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed MOUZ27c840$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22612742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f06…39c7backed MOUZ31c706.58$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.171323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Spirit55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3618049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb18f…41eabacked MOUZ5c570$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ46c519.96$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed MOUZ45c444.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed MOUZ45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ23c437$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.031,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit70c426$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.911,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Spirit55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.855,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked MOUZ35c387.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.354346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed MOUZ27c382.49$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2711928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit68c371.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5461754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9383backed Spirit54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Spirit55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed MOUZ46c363$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9815743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Spirit55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16240655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ28c358.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Spirit77c354$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.194748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8817850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453e…eabcbacked Spirit73c350$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked MOUZ8c324.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.575736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Spirit65c309.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.717467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed Spirit73c280$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.65244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6359…e065backed Spirit55c270.04$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spirit72c256$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed MOUZ4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ39c242.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.964,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked MOUZ22c226$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.566246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc4…5347backed Spirit55c225.16$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xada4…221fbacked MOUZ5c224.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed MOUZ20c223.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.662147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e7…c04dbacked MOUZ45c215.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ44c214.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.169941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Spirit79c214.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9822365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ45c207.84$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Spirit55c201.82$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.829364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed MOUZ29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Spirit73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…b94cbacked Spirit67c198.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.551163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb0…d543backed Spirit56c190$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit57c185.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9637850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Spirit54c185.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.721,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Spirit55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed Spirit58c171.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.055483.3%45 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x67f2…b1d4backed Spirit78c170$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit57c167.74$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked MOUZ17c155.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.394546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Spirit67c155.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.327348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Spirit55c140.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1623161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed MOUZ14c138.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.113545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe45…f9a7backed Spirit57c131.58$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.581855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.