CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd674dd0f1b802018a0dfb62cd11df016a6ed7ee175bf294804bb82b2b9cf4e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 39c | 88,985$35,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,126.19 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Spirit | 61c | 45,130$27,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,752 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 57c | 18,726$10,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,072.46 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit | 61c | 12,000$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 19c | 10,070$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.35 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db5…6489backed MOUZ | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 75c | 8,409$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.33 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 17c | 7,499$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.9 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ | 43c | 7,046$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.43 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 59c | 6,981$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.15 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 14c | 6,822$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,010$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.48 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked MOUZ | 28c | 5,840$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed MOUZ | 28c | 5,233$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.83 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 60c | 5,182$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.8 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spirit | 57c | 5,006$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.86 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 19c | 5,001$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.04 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 16c | 4,987$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.66 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ | 31c | 4,238$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.93 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit | 60c | 3,388$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.33 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ | 16c | 2,944$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…6d59backed Spirit | 79c | 2,858$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,255$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ | 15c | 1,250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,138$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,059$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ | 17c | 1,050$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Spirit | 60c | 975$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ | 19c | 854.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked MOUZ | 12c | 799.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked MOUZ | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Spirit | 69c | 691$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Spirit | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit | 56c | 537.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 13c | 534.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Spirit | 75c | 529.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…acdcbacked MOUZ | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed MOUZ | 44c | 499.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed MOUZ | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 478.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed MOUZ | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed Spirit | 72c | 364.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ | 31c | 364.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Spirit | 60c | 363.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…41eabacked MOUZ | 8c | 362.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…0d44backed Spirit | 74c | 351.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 140 | 56.4%79 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 29c | 345.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed MOUZ | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked MOUZ | 11c | 307$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ | 16c | 305$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…f97bbacked MOUZ | 11c | 278.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ | 20c | 264.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MOUZ | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4262backed Spirit | 55c | 213.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 22c | 204.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked MOUZ | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked MOUZ | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…190bbacked MOUZ | 19c | 185.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked MOUZ | 16c | 184.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Spirit | 73c | 182.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…6cc6backed Spirit | 55c | 181.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked MOUZ | 20c | 180.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ | 15c | 175.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit | 73c | 174.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 27c | 165.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…8390backed Spirit | 75c | 163.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spirit | 77c | 163.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed MOUZ | 29c | 162.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed MOUZ | 25c | 159.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Spirit | 69c | 157.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 69c | 157.03$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Spirit | 59c | 152.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…e065backed Spirit | 59c | 148.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 76c | 148$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ | 19c | 146.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Spirit | 68c | 141.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed MOUZ | 18c | 141.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked MOUZ | 42c | 137.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed MOUZ | 29c | 136.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Spirit | 70c | 134.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Spirit | 53c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Spirit | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Spirit | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…0e7dbacked Spirit | 56c | 121.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…ca73backed MOUZ | 24c | 120.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed MOUZ | 34c | 118.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.