TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,113
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,113 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ39c88,985$35,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,126.1942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Spirit61c45,130$27,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,75221048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit57c18,726$10,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,072.4683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Spirit61c12,000$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ19c10,070$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.352,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db5…6489backed MOUZ0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit75c8,409$6,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.333,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ17c7,499$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.91,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked MOUZ43c7,046$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.4312038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit59c6,981$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.1572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ14c6,822$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed MOUZ44c6,010$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.4846149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked MOUZ28c5,840$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6603231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ28c5,233$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.8312649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit60c5,182$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.826351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spirit57c5,006$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.8615347.1%72 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ19c5,001$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.041,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ16c4,987$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.6626046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Spirit61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.0313065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked MOUZ42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ31c4,238$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.938758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit60c3,388$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.3365650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ16c2,944$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.43839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf291…6d59backed Spirit79c2,858$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed MOUZ24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ42c1,450$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60920944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50710335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked MOUZ42c1,255$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52710251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked MOUZ15c1,250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4622927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ22c1,138$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.371,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ40c1,059$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.167,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ17c1,050$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.781,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked Spirit74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26018860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Spirit60c975$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39012742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ19c854.96$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.445,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked MOUZ12c799.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9611452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked MOUZ14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Spirit69c691$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2129364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Spirit55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit56c537.4$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.417850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ13c534.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.332,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Spirit75c529.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9544641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Spirit61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…acdcbacked MOUZ48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed MOUZ44c499.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2196829.4%20 W · 48 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed MOUZ45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9934235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ15c478.53$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2552834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed MOUZ42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc906…6e03backed Spirit72c364.7$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.584748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ31c364.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11322550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Spirit60c363.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.381580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb18f…41eabacked MOUZ8c362.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.983033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed Spirit74c351.35$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3514056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ29c345.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9383backed MOUZ6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed81…82eebacked Spirit61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked MOUZ11c307$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.645736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ16c305$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.052,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8758651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked MOUZ11c278.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ20c264.54$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MOUZ21c228.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4262backed Spirit55c213.55$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ22c204.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.854,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked MOUZ27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked MOUZ46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9219351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c2…190bbacked MOUZ19c185.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.246643.9%29 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked MOUZ16c184.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.883636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Spirit73c182.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.899152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938a…6cc6backed Spirit55c181.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked MOUZ20c180.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.154546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed MOUZ15c175.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5623333%77 W · 156 L-22.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit73c174.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ27c165.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.215,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7623…8390backed Spirit75c163.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spirit77c163.15$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2561837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed MOUZ29c162.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4723161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed MOUZ25c159.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Spirit69c157.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Spirit69c157.03$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.123,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Spirit59c152.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.037467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6366034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6359…e065backed Spirit59c148.68$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit76c148$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.234,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ19c146.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3627348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9373658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Spirit68c141.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1610660.4%64 W · 42 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed MOUZ18c141.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked MOUZ42c137.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed MOUZ29c136.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd0…b94cbacked Spirit70c134.43$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.331163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Spirit53c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.77254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked MOUZ40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Spirit60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5019150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Spirit60c122$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…0e7dbacked Spirit56c121.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bee…ca73backed MOUZ24c120.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed MOUZ34c118.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.