CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0051a1e1f0d5345799263f41a2afc34cab2073265cf446615e85dc2e5fa3d1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, XI Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed XI Esport | 30c | 6,623$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.03 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed megoshort | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked megoshort | 74c | 1,472$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.75 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed XI Esport | 24c | 1,432$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.17 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed XI Esport | 6c | 1,308$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed XI Esport | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.92 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed XI Esport | 1c | 1,149$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked megoshort | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…a448backed XI Esport | 27c | 719$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…f69ebacked XI Esport | 15c | 684.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked megoshort | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed XI Esport | 27c | 637.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked megoshort | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed XI Esport | 29c | 596.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…85cebacked megoshort | 73c | 481$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked megoshort | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed XI Esport | 16c | 313.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed XI Esport | 11c | 271.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…48bdbacked megoshort | 73c | 258$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed megoshort | 74c | 205.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked XI Esport | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed XI Esport | 7c | 177.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed XI Esport | 13c | 129.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…df77backed XI Esport | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked XI Esport | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…99fbbacked XI Esport | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked megoshort | 73c | 99.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…bdc2backed megoshort | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked megoshort | 78c | 90.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176c…089ebacked megoshort | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed megoshort | 72c | 82.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked XI Esport | 13c | 82.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked megoshort | 72c | 69.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked XI Esport | 29c | 69.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed XI Esport | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed XI Esport | 25c | 52.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…debcbacked XI Esport | 28c | 52.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…b5dabacked megoshort | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…eb77backed XI Esport | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked megoshort | 72c | 49.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed XI Esport | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed megoshort | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed megoshort | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed megoshort | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed megoshort | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed megoshort | 76c | 25.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8486…81a8backed megoshort | 74c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…ae78backed megoshort | 74c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4319…10b3backed megoshort | 74c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.