CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cf55080825d745454de4a221d878ef075c81f710f8d52bcea671e0549d9381e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, XI Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed XI Esport | 32c | 950$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed megoshort | 71c | 903.65$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked XI Esport | 18c | 700$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed megoshort | 76c | 644.03$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.84 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed megoshort | 67c | 605.82$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed XI Esport | 7c | 463$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed XI Esport | 31c | 327.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked megoshort | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked XI Esport | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked megoshort | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked XI Esport | 11c | 147.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed XI Esport | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked XI Esport | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed XI Esport | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)megoshort won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.