TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Verojaof yache123, Veroja
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Veroja55c16,263$8,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,281.691145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked yache12342c5,576$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.2373841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed yache12340c3,362$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.413225%8 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed yache1232c2,148$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.264932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked yache12318c2,100$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+115.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked yache12331c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked yache12350c1,976$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8933850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed yache12335c1,967$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.9646535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Veroja55c1,365$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.458349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…85cebacked yache12346c1,187$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Veroja68c1,034$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.542556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked yache12319c1,024$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked yache12339c1,024$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.972646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked yache1238c993.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.93234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed yache12375c934.25$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked yache12347c845.82$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.551,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b5…b7cfbacked yache12346c816$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Veroja54c744.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.716139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c5…0622backed Veroja71c667.36$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…4e12backed Veroja54c615$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…2fccbacked Veroja54c572$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Veroja47c556.46$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6346664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcac…fa54backed yache12342c505.27$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed yache1235c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25613.3%2 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea0e…a5dabacked Veroja69c492.75$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed yache12346c486.08$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.546451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac6…14febacked Veroja54c468$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked yache12329c465$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.058223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Veroja54c424.31$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.942548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked yache12354c417.18$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked yache1235c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202015%3 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick5cpaid+100%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked yache12375c377.5$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.931844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Veroja78c363.73$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.735166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Veroja64c357.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1610945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed yache1233c352.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2205%1 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed yache12339c350.77$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.255962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked yache12335c348.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.045538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…ef4ebacked Veroja54c348$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3811…5d15backed Veroja54c339$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…e4fdbacked yache12346c339$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Veroja52c332.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.767460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed yache12337c316.9$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed yache12346c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Veroja54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13829245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed yache12337c299.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.145061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Veroja28c294.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3610850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb96…934fbacked yache12332c293.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.581643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed yache12345c287.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.56854.4%37 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked yache12358c273.59$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.899661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Veroja60c263.07$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5516665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Veroja61c254.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Veroja75c250.2$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked yache12322c249.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Veroja73c236.26$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.042650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked yache12328c231.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Veroja64c226.55$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.152,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5d…539cbacked Veroja63c218.21$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed yache12336c217.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed yache12331c208.13$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.443240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked yache12349c206.12$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Veroja60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8067853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…e4d2backed Veroja62c199.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…5830backed yache12339c185.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked yache12312c173.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b05…dd75backed yache12368c153.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked yache12348c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed yache12329c142.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x92fd…83eabacked Veroja75c140.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df0…1d17backed Veroja73c137.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed yache12330c136.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed yache12375c133.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023465%152 W · 82 L-1.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed yache12328c130.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3914244.4%63 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked yache12339c129.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked Veroja64c127.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed yache12342c125.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Veroja55c122.16$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9817342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…1d29backed yache12354c119.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.011631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed Veroja48c118.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.32653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6906…67ecbacked Veroja47c118.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.77560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed yache12365c115.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7929…7415backed yache12342c114.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Veroja35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2943647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed yache12353c112.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd8b…5945backed yache12351c108.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked yache12323c106.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.72740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Veroja47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5310560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed yache12346c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Veroja53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6db5…497dbacked yache12351c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Veroja52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4829550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e3…9efebacked yache12357c99.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…93f9backed yache12339c90.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96a…1deebacked Veroja70c89.92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed yache12331c89.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5812720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked yache12352c81.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Veroja70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked yache12373c68.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked yache12340c68.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3253139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed yache12356c66.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed yache12342c62.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.