TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Verojaof Veroja, Ivory
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ivory0c6,136$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.756169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Ivory4c2,495$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002313%3 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Veroja50c1,598$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.588349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Ivory54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Veroja46c642.49$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5829245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Ivory33c617.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.454445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Ivory54c481.48$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Veroja42c459.19$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3346535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Ivory58c459.19$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.33966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Veroja50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Veroja43c399.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22864744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Ivory56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Ivory57c275.91$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5549133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Ivory60c250.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Ivory20c175.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.08234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8fc…ae82backed Ivory59c169.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Veroja43c169$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.33812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Veroja44c165$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Veroja43c154$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.78944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Veroja41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.529550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Ivory47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+67.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Veroja50c149$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5d…539cbacked Veroja44c138.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.66850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Ivory55c138.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Veroja43c118$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+63.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Veroja50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+93.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Veroja50c103$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ivory53c102.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4560542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Ivory38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Veroja43c95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Ivory56c91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Veroja42c91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Ivory56c82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Veroja42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Ivory57c78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Ivory56c76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Veroja42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.181747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Ivory53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Ivory59c62.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Veroja43c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+101.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Ivory50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Veroja54c56.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-50.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06f4…758dbacked Veroja44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+141.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Veroja42c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-73.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Ivory58c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Ivory47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Ivory56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb96…934fbacked Veroja58c51.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42bb…2138backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Veroja44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Veroja53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Veroja44c47$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Ivory56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511051.8%57 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Ivory50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Veroja56c43.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.161,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Ivory58c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Veroja44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Ivory57c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Veroja53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Ivory56c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Ivory50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Ivory57c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Ivory57c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Ivory57c38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Veroja61c38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.712955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Ivory50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Ivory57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Ivory58c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Veroja53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Ivory50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Veroja44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Veroja44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa848…68fcbacked Veroja75c33.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Ivory56c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Ivory57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Ivory57c32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Ivory58c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Ivory56c30.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723849.6%118 W · 120 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Ivory57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Ivory58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Ivory57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Veroja44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cd…010bbacked Ivory48c28.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Ivory50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Veroja50c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Ivory56c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Ivory57c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Veroja42c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Veroja53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Ivory57c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Ivory56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Ivory58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ae…89d9backed Ivory58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Ivory57c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Ivory58c22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Ivory50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.