TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Passion UA59c35,233$20,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,779.0110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed Passion UA59c30,900$18,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,262.9213954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed NRG41c17,800$7,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,5021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked NRG41c13,975$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,245.1418550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG41c8,000$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,72072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Passion UA59c7,500$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,42535153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked NRG41c6,916$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.520539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed NRG41c6,222$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.982045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NRG41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,54059839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed NRG40c4,516$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.5922142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Passion UA59c4,513$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.0141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Passion UA54c4,018$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1511,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG42c3,182$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed NRG41c2,250$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…17ffbacked NRG47c1,583$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG59c1,461$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.937,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Passion UA55c1,095$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Passion UA59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG48c826.13$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.963,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Passion UA24c791.13$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3116448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9425…f025backed NRG71c781.35$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed NRG43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked NRG41c695.12$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed NRG46c655.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.6111937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed NRG42c581.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed NRG41c553.66$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.665042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…583abacked NRG47c550$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2933852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked NRG40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed NRG41c449.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.219643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Passion UA32c419.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1892152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Passion UA31c411.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7212946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Passion UA59c401$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5926054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2365,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed NRG41c368.98$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.715655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked NRG41c364.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2312038.3%46 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked NRG44c364.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2633459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed NRG41c333.12$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked NRG40c312.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.514137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed NRG41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed NRG41c280.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.495952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed NRG46c273.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9110947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed NRG45c270$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed NRG40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed NRG41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.910248%49 W · 53 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed NRG41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.913857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8e…f256backed NRG41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e37…e36cbacked NRG41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed NRG41c243.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4615442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed NRG41c219.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.512568%17 W · 8 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+56.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG52c211.35$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed NRG46c208.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.73557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked NRG46c202.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.121866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+63.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ed…063bbacked NRG43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Passion UA30c199.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9948242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46b…9a5ebacked Passion UA36c196.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick57cpaid-76.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed NRG48c193$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked NRG44c171$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7725337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed NRG64c161.28$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0624746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed NRG41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.517745.8%81 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked NRG41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3454348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed NRG41c138.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4310753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked NRG41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.958248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed NRG41c112.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.496933.3%23 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG67c110.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.095,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d16…0abbbacked NRG60c109.86$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.157941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed NRG41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7631532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked NRG41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed NRG41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5939237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed NRG40c98.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5997230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked NRG39c96.87$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0970038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed NRG41c95.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1210632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c0f…cea3backed NRG41c85.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa918…8d4bbacked NRG41c85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Passion UA60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked NRG41c80.45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4746447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed NRG41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.224850.4%125 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Passion UA59c74.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2411353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed NRG61c73.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7152755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed NRG54c73.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.622843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3207…86d9backed NRG41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Passion UA50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed NRG46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2213445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed NRG41c64.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.184759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked NRG41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.424633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed NRG41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.45433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Passion UA56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked NRG54c55.32$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.324161%25 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Passion UA61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9411245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed NRG59c51.43$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8328660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked NRG41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.595642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed NRG41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked NRG41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.53951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…e1c6backed NRG41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a22…c4ecbacked NRG41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked NRG41c48.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.716155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed NRG41c48.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed NRG61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.546950.7%35 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.