TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5902…e1c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick31cpaid+150.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$50.76
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+319.1%+$63.83
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+626.6%+$213.06
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
LoL: Disguised vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+583.1%+$116.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.86
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$24.14
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Australian Open Women's: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shangbacked Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Laura Siegemundbacked Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+159.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+52.4%+$6.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.