CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d4607287d1da038542d2a73c1dd6daba9d545866ba36e2572b9da978709979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof los kogutos, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed los kogutos | 65c | 18,176$11,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.88 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MASONIC | 35c | 6,499$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.68 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed MASONIC | 35c | 4,082$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed los kogutos | 66c | 2,600$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MASONIC | 35c | 1,950$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.3 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…23a2backed MASONIC | 34c | 1,800$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b7c5backed los kogutos | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed MASONIC | 35c | 1,162$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.85 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASONIC | 43c | 1,045$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed MASONIC | 35c | 1,037$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed los kogutos | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.76 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 33c | 666.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed los kogutos | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MASONIC | 34c | 499.94$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed MASONIC | 34c | 488$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed MASONIC | 34c | 447.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.42 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MASONIC | 33c | 426.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MASONIC | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MASONIC | 33c | 372.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed MASONIC | 35c | 324$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MASONIC | 35c | 304.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked MASONIC | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed MASONIC | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed MASONIC | 34c | 270.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed MASONIC | 33c | 260$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked MASONIC | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed MASONIC | 33c | 221.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed MASONIC | 35c | 203.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed MASONIC | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed MASONIC | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked MASONIC | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed MASONIC | 33c | 152$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed MASONIC | 35c | 145.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed los kogutos | 77c | 120.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed MASONIC | 35c | 118.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed MASONIC | 33c | 103.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed MASONIC | 71c | 100.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…4fafbacked los kogutos | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed MASONIC | 35c | 92.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed los kogutos | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MASONIC | 35c | 86.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked los kogutos | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MASONIC | 51c | 69.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed los kogutos | 65c | 62.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…9242backed los kogutos | 33c | 62.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MASONIC | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed los kogutos | 57c | 55.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked MASONIC | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MASONIC | 35c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…896dbacked los kogutos | 59c | 44.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed los kogutos | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed los kogutos | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed MASONIC | 35c | 39.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed MASONIC | 33c | 37.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…e1c6backed MASONIC | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed MASONIC | 35c | 36.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked MASONIC | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed MASONIC | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed los kogutos | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed los kogutos | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.