Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8666a3507299f5fd597411eb0a21a1aaa636d0d3b9bb382efb07d2b993f87562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Machacof Machac, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Tsitsipas | 36c | 35,045$12,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,592.68 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Tsitsipas | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Machac | 61c | 19,844$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,744.05 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Machac | 69c | 14,372$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Machac | 61c | 12,500$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.99 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Machac | 69c | 11,128$7,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.57 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Tsitsipas | 37c | 10,341$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.35 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Tsitsipas | 37c | 8,166$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Machac | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Machac | 63c | 6,302$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.59 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tsitsipas | 26c | 6,028$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.31 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…8bb0backed Tsitsipas | 0c | 6,024$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Machac | 62c | 5,982$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Machac | 77c | 5,647$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.02 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Machac | 64c | 5,486$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.54 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Machac | 62c | 5,200$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.35 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Tsitsipas | 39c | 5,170$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…f360backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Machac | 67c | 4,877$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Machac | 64c | 4,871$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 4,157$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.14 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Machac | 76c | 4,000$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.02 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 4,000$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.09 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 3,993$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Machac | 61c | 3,400$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.99 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Tsitsipas | 39c | 3,211$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.81 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tsitsipas | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Machac | 68c | 2,939$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.31 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Tsitsipas | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 2,788$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tsitsipas | 36c | 2,643$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.9 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Machac | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Tsitsipas | 48c | 2,305$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.24 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Tsitsipas | 48c | 2,290$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Machac | 66c | 2,217$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.48 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Tsitsipas | 28c | 2,090$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.7 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Machac | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Tsitsipas | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Machac | 73c | 1,694$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Machac | 69c | 1,692$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.08 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Tsitsipas | 23c | 1,634$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.51 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Machac | 63c | 1,593$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.85 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Machac | 65c | 1,575$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.6 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Machac | 53c | 1,517$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.99 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Machac | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Machac | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Machac | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Machac | 55c | 1,396$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.68 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Tsitsipas | 53c | 1,340$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Machac | 60c | 1,275$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.24 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Tsitsipas | 26c | 1,265$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.65 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Machac | 60c | 1,208$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.35 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 1,129$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Machac | 58c | 1,121$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.21 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 1,086$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.47 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Machac | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.1 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Tsitsipas | 36c | 1,050$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Machac | 61c | 1,000$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cb…820abacked Tsitsipas | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Machac | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Machac | 73c | 999$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tsitsipas | 35c | 881$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.84 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Machac | 66c | 825$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…3ae9backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 820$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Machac | 55c | 800$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Tsitsipas | 36c | 798.97$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.63 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tsitsipas | 46c | 763.91$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tsitsipas | 35c | 761.91$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.76 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Machac | 53c | 734.41$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.17 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 727.27$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.51 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Machac | 67c | 690.68$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Machac | 62c | 661.29$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tsitsipas | 27c | 649.38$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Tsitsipas | 34c | 645.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Machac | 62c | 632.21$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Tsitsipas | 30c | 617.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Machac | 60c | 610$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Machac | 66c | 587.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Machac | 69c | 574.59$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Machac | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Machac | 58c | 539.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Machac | 62c | 499.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Machac | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Machac | 65c | 474.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Tsitsipas | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Tsitsipas | 36c | 452.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Machac | 73c | 447.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Machac | 63c | 431$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Machac | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Machac | 62c | 344.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…5f87backed Machac | 62c | 340$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Tsitsipas | 29c | 333.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tsitsipas | 38c | 326.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Machac | 67c | 326$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Tsitsipas | 38c | 325.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tsitsipas | 34c | 316.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Machac | 68c | 313.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasthis page
- Machac vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Machac vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Machac vs. Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Machac vs TsitsipasMachac won
- Set Handicap: Machac (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5)Machac won
- Set Handicap: Machac (-2.5) vs Tsitsipas (+2.5)Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.