CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08da00eb45ac3ce5c1bd30c0ce591b18cdfcaaf41de54a94d8578a5929209805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Voca | 37c | 2,872$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.95 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Voca | 22c | 2,500$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.28 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 68c | 1,948$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed NRG | 61c | 1,935$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG | 80c | 1,111$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 23c | 1,093$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Voca | 11c | 830$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked NRG | 70c | 486.34$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 67c | 382.18$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Voca | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed NRG | 79c | 277.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed NRG | 71c | 265.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Voca | 17c | 239.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG | 77c | 164.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG | 80c | 158.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Voca | 26c | 133.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Voca | 38c | 131.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…2df7backed Voca | 17c | 123.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e36cbacked NRG | 79c | 122.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Voca | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Voca | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Voca | 31c | 76.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG | 77c | 74.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…145abacked NRG | 63c | 73.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…e1c6backed Voca | 22c | 73.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…ec34backed Voca | 28c | 71.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed NRG | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed NRG | 75c | 55.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Voca | 21c | 52.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked Voca | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Voca | 31c | 39.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NRG | 77c | 38.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…2c83backed NRG | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Voca | 44c | 30.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Voca | 37c | 27.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked NRG | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked NRG | 79c | 25.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NRG | 78c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked NRG | 70c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed NRG | 75c | 20.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NRG | 75c | 19.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.