TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Rinky Hijikata vs Valentin Vacherot

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vacherotof Hijikata, Vacherot
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Hijikata16c31,678$4,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,963.312,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hijikata37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Vacherot63c20,526$12,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,594.473268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hijikata9c15,483$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Vacherot64c13,569$8,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.8144360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Vacherot64c11,009$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,918.82259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Hijikata0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Hijikata36c5,570$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.198825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hijikata36c5,324$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.952,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Hijikata1c5,049$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.492,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Vacherot64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hijikata32c4,826$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.917,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hijikata35c4,571$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hijikata14c3,912$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.192,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hijikata13c3,729$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.888,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Vacherot64c3,394$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.6818047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cb…820abacked Hijikata36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hijikata35c2,833$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.242,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Hijikata36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b31…11a8backed Vacherot64c2,725$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Vacherot64c2,670$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.2312335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Vacherot76c2,617$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.528446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hijikata36c2,376$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.3631332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hijikata34c2,084$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.317,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Hijikata37c1,765$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1932637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3bb…4c36backed Vacherot65c1,754$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Vacherot63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.333256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Hijikata36c1,577$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.5878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Vacherot64c1,572$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.360053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…b52cbacked Vacherot64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.56737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Hijikata35c1,518$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.325228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Vacherot63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hijikata36c1,475$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.011,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Hijikata36c1,224$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8130339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Hijikata38c1,045$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3973441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Vacherot63c960$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.211843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked Hijikata16c912.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462030%6 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+166%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Vacherot64c906.92$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.414060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Hijikata37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Vacherot63c715$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Hijikata7c711.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.491,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Vacherot78c691.03$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0318663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Hijikata11c615$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6528835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hijikata36c501.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Vacherot63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…c8dabacked Vacherot63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Vacherot63c495.32$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2725043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Hijikata12c475.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Hijikata4c449.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.254599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hijikata36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Vacherot63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8326158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Hijikata36c328.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2612147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Vacherot65c308.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4524931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0283…e7d3backed Vacherot65c307.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6920257.4%116 W · 86 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Vacherot63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11110965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Vacherot65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.53953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Vacherot67c299.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.474551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Hijikata14c287.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hijikata30c278$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.921,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hijikata9c247.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.392,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Vacherot65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Vacherot70c199.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.511266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Hijikata36c166$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4210247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Hijikata16c164.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.082433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Hijikata37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.23823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Hijikata19c157.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1411122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xaa99…4680backed Vacherot63c156.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Hijikata12c152.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.915944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hijikata33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…7ecebacked Vacherot67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Hijikata9c143.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.966339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Hijikata20c134.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4622236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Hijikata8c132.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Vacherot63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.989870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca0f…780bbacked Hijikata38c123.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Vacherot62c119.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5917840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hijikata12c115.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.541,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Vacherot65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3516856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Vacherot63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Vacherot64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Hijikata36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…dcd8backed Vacherot63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Vacherot64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3618863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Vacherot63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2439850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Vacherot64c83.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0560661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Vacherot63c82.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.546055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Vacherot65c80.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Vacherot63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3765840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Vacherot64c77.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.810668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Hijikata36c76.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.725350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Vacherot65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Vacherot65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9211454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Vacherot65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Vacherot63c73.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1536464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9781…f9edbacked Vacherot63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.497753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Hijikata36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa15e…8cacbacked Vacherot63c55.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4421361.5%131 W · 82 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555a…931abacked Hijikata38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed Hijikata38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hijikata36c51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.367,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.