Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Valentova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e50a007bc2a2484d6697ac89622a71c716d6693a457237f746c336268af128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentovaof Fruhvirtova, Valentova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Valentova | 79c | 30,000$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…d457backed Fruhvirtova | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fruhvirtova | 21c | 4,053$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.3 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 3,977$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.14 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fruhvirtova | 17c | 3,585$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fruhvirtova | 23c | 3,504$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 1,910$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fruhvirtova | 34c | 1,696$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.48 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Fruhvirtova | 31c | 1,671$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.79 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Fruhvirtova | 39c | 1,447$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fruhvirtova | 36c | 1,110$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Fruhvirtova | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fruhvirtova | 20c | 744.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fruhvirtova | 15c | 739.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valentova | 79c | 615.87$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Valentova | 78c | 438.15$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fruhvirtova | 28c | 422.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Fruhvirtova | 20c | 314$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 294.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Fruhvirtova | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Fruhvirtova | 38c | 291.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fruhvirtova | 6c | 285$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Fruhvirtova | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Fruhvirtova | 22c | 247.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valentova | 72c | 228.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Fruhvirtova | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Fruhvirtova | 22c | 145.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Fruhvirtova | 36c | 140.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Valentova | 72c | 135.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Fruhvirtova | 20c | 126.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fruhvirtova | 31c | 109.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Fruhvirtova | 25c | 106.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Valentova | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Valentova | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Fruhvirtova | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 97.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…4a6cbacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 96.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Fruhvirtova | 24c | 95.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Fruhvirtova | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Valentova | 73c | 85.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Fruhvirtova | 25c | 82.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Fruhvirtova | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…785bbacked Fruhvirtova | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…ade8backed Fruhvirtova | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked Fruhvirtova | 23c | 76.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fruhvirtova | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Fruhvirtova | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fruhvirtova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fruhvirtova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Fruhvirtova | 32c | 46.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Valentova | 72c | 45.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fruhvirtova | 24c | 45.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fruhvirtova | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Valentova | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Valentova | 72c | 38.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Valentova | 79c | 36.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Valentova | 61c | 27.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…8179backed Valentova | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Valentova | 69c | 24.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…e1c6backed Valentova | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Valentova | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Valentova | 72c | 14.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Valentova | 72c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Tereza Valentovathis page
- Fruhvirtova vs. Valentova: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fruhvirtova vs. Valentova: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Fruhvirtova vs. Valentova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fruhvirtova vs ValentovaValentova won
- Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)Fruhvirtova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.