Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe72a182b474cda145aa47d125de8184ce32690240800ef1731757d1ccf28bcef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cilicof Shapovalov, Cilic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5877…d894backed Shapovalov | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,599.98 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Shapovalov | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cilic | 46c | 19,071$8,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Cilic | 46c | 17,864$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,725.05 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Shapovalov | 59c | 11,855$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,992.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cilic | 41c | 11,682$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840.32 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shapovalov | 42c | 9,783$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Shapovalov | 57c | 8,700$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Cilic | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cilic | 45c | 4,265$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shapovalov | 30c | 3,886$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cilic | 42c | 3,300$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.96 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shapovalov | 54c | 3,134$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.09 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Cilic | 44c | 2,524$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.15 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Shapovalov | 41c | 2,497$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.86 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Cilic | 53c | 2,200$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.5 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Cilic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Cilic | 44c | 1,942$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.41 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Shapovalov | 57c | 1,863$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Shapovalov | 56c | 1,780$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.8 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Shapovalov | 57c | 1,769$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.87 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Shapovalov | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shapovalov | 60c | 1,377$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.23 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cilic | 46c | 1,294$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.95 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shapovalov | 25c | 1,281$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.89 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…682cbacked Shapovalov | 10c | 1,253$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Shapovalov | 67c | 1,203$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Cilic | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Cilic | 59c | 1,162$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Shapovalov | 54c | 1,089$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Shapovalov | 58c | 1,004$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Cilic | 60c | 1,001$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.95 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Cilic | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Shapovalov | 51c | 989.11$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Cilic | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Cilic | 40c | 940$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Shapovalov | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Cilic | 41c | 787.46$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cilic | 48c | 766.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.72 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Shapovalov | 68c | 735.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shapovalov | 57c | 676.59$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Shapovalov | 56c | 651.57$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.36 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Cilic | 38c | 532.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cilic | 40c | 525$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Shapovalov | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Shapovalov | 58c | 478.8$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Shapovalov | 60c | 455.43$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…3545backed Cilic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Shapovalov | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Shapovalov | 55c | 443.98$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cilic | 56c | 420.87$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Shapovalov | 69c | 417.77$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Cilic | 48c | 385.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Cilic | 51c | 377.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.64 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Shapovalov | 51c | 374$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Shapovalov | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…9595backed Shapovalov | 57c | 347.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Shapovalov | 52c | 336$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.43 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Shapovalov | 32c | 332$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Shapovalov | 23c | 324.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Cilic | 41c | 310$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Shapovalov | 59c | 304.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Cilic | 45c | 265.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Cilic | 40c | 249.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Shapovalov | 48c | 248.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Cilic | 41c | 245.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Shapovalov | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Cilic | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Shapovalov | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Cilic | 49c | 220.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…d5d5backed Cilic | 70c | 218.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cilic | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Cilic | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Shapovalov | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Shapovalov | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c89…2db9backed Shapovalov | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shapovalov | 56c | 178.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Shapovalov | 45c | 177.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…58b5backed Cilic | 46c | 177.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Shapovalov | 17c | 175.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Shapovalov | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Shapovalov | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Cilic | 48c | 175.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Shapovalov | 56c | 174.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…6ddbbacked Shapovalov | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Shapovalov | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Shapovalov | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shapovalov | 32c | 158.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…9d9bbacked Cilic | 53c | 154.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Cilic | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…1b7ebacked Shapovalov | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shapovalov | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Shapovalov | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e38…3758backed Cilic | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…cddabacked Shapovalov | 56c | 149$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…2d8ebacked Cilic | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…32c5backed Shapovalov | 56c | 148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…8f0abacked Cilic | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…60fbbacked Cilic | 44c | 148$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…6f22backed Shapovalov | 56c | 148$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs CilicCilic won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-2.5) vs Cilic (+2.5)Cilic won
- Shapovalov vs. Cilic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.