TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Inner Circle, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Inner Circle32c14,641$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,730.3733746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…6c62backed Inner Circle1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Virtus.pro44c9,444$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.4320949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro23c6,265$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,854.062,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Virtus.pro72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4004156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e60…7267backed Inner Circle31c3,600$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf168…b9d3backed Virtus.pro69c3,600$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Virtus.pro72c2,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003250%16 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Virtus.pro32c2,365$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.1115047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Inner Circle65c2,260$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.7912248.4%59 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Virtus.pro52c1,690$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.637149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Virtus.pro62c1,611$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.2925549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle34c1,250$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25d3…d048backed Inner Circle28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc960…b7e0backed Virtus.pro72c1,100$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85065625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Inner Circle61c709.28$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.5534561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed Virtus.pro48c700$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.083928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Inner Circle43c649.88$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle36c587.92$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.162,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Virtus.pro69c510.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Virtus.pro75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12549133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro35c475.27$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.7199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed Inner Circle53c429.29$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Inner Circle8c426.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Inner Circle10c414.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4397142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro71c356.43$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Virtus.pro59c350.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.537846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro32c323.51$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.451,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Inner Circle77c322.57$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1959250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11427548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Virtus.pro31c299.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20715653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d6…77fabacked Virtus.pro69c288.41$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d9…1efebacked Virtus.pro35c282.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+39%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle55c279.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.031,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro49c272.23$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1986949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro47c214.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8377256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Inner Circle57c183.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7b06backed Virtus.pro75c181.54$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Virtus.pro79c164.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5226661.7%164 W · 102 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Inner Circle28c159.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4516437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Virtus.pro65c154.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4119552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ff4…9a30backed Virtus.pro20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453e…eabcbacked Inner Circle78c150$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.638657%49 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked Virtus.pro56c147.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Inner Circle48c136.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Inner Circle51c135.32$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.635648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle59c123.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.91,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Inner Circle34c116.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro36c113.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9973554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Inner Circle35c99.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4913636%49 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Inner Circle63c95.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro41c92.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.270236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Virtus.pro46c88.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8411348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed Virtus.pro64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.138833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Virtus.pro33c75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3314453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Virtus.pro25c74.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3918248.4%88 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed Inner Circle36c66.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.353026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x623f…a4cdbacked Virtus.pro74c61.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro72c60.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1229245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Inner Circle28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.817638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Virtus.pro51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.399756.7%55 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro75c58.36$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4734063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f17…0f54backed Inner Circle51c56.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro59c55.15$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Virtus.pro40c51.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.933645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro31c50.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Inner Circle34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd362…b7f3backed Inner Circle34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Virtus.pro27c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78db…4d37backed Inner Circle39c48.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro54c48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Inner Circle35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…8b9ebacked Inner Circle55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed Inner Circle35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Virtus.pro34c42.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9311052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf91…3041backed Inner Circle61c41.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5afb…594fbacked Inner Circle44c41.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcc…4883backed Virtus.pro52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Inner Circle66c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.582,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d79…a4e0backed Virtus.pro53c35.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Virtus.pro34c35.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Virtus.pro44c34.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0830543%131 W · 174 L+18.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1149…3628backed Inner Circle59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56f…9e25backed Inner Circle61c32.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…e1c6backed Inner Circle37c32.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Virtus.pro32c32.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Virtus.pro63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7525255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60c…f540backed Inner Circle64c31.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33b…fa01backed Virtus.pro65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.774100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d52…618abacked Inner Circle68c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Virtus.pro43c23.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.262665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13f…5014backed Inner Circle50c22.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Inner Circle69c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9388…8b79backed Virtus.pro60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0a…8d66backed Inner Circle79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.