TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf56f…9e25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+402.8%+$80.57
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.43
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+25%+$4.46
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+68.3%+$51.07
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.14
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Charlotte Checkers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$23.95
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.4%+$14.63
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+51.4%+$21.42
Blue Jackets vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+60.6%+$16
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+48.3%+$7.72
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.18
Canucks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+71.5%+$14.31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+149.7%+$38.28
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$146.67
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+198.8%+$171.01
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$93.6
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Wyoming vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$5.96
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakersbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+150%+$40.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.5%+$14.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$95.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$40.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+26.5%+$348.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.