Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cb9054af899c4377f59a7d4a2319da18d452a1f1fe25db4f77991d060a76aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 8,027$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.28 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Yes | 50c | 6,831$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,807$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 1,762$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 77c | 1,317$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 49c | 1,206$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 50c | 824$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 667.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 52c | 559.68$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 50c | 458$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 52c | 386.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 58c | 285.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 242.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 54c | 235.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 32c | 162.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…22f1backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9a59backed Yes | 38c | 112.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 64c | 55.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 48c | 52.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…81cbbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…9e25backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 77c | 18.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.