Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Penn Quakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbece5ad519ad6356092a284f1b0b59621088890a985db369171913bf7d5689b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Saint Joseph's Hawks, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 4,630$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 46c | 3,630$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.46 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn Quakers | 39c | 3,353$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penn Quakers | 35c | 3,000$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 70c | 1,601$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.12 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 1,377$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.37 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 742.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.24 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Penn Quakers | 23c | 650.23$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.93 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn Quakers | 28c | 640.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 59c | 463.54$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.19 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Penn Quakers | 30c | 438.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Penn Quakers | 23c | 181.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 39c | 155$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Penn Quakers | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penn Quakers | 64c | 131$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…d964backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 76c | 110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Penn Quakers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Penn Quakers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Penn Quakers | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn Quakers | 28c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penn Quakers | 28c | 87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn Quakers | 78c | 81.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6ca4backed Penn Quakers | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Penn Quakers | 27c | 59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 74c | 54.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 54.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…7e84backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 51.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…00b4backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…1c32backed Penn Quakers | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Penn Quakers | 35c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 59c | 44.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Penn Quakers | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…0b1bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…0eb0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 35.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Penn Quakers | 28c | 35.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…9b4abacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…ead5backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…c484backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…15ecbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…9e25backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…9ebdbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…b867backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54b…22ebbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…e0b0backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 19.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…e655backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 72c | 18.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…208cbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.