La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30478fbc1feae6fdf9712b7e01da46c5ddec1141fefc6e1764893a9c1c4072c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.86 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 49c | 7,040$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.29 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 4,896$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.37 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 4,111$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.32 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.57 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 51c | 2,783$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.76 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 51c | 1,722$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.89 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.29 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.26 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 818$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 602.29$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 72c | 582.59$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 534.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.81 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Yes | 51c | 460.78$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Yes | 51c | 447.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 50c | 351.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 46c | 216.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 44c | 204.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 51c | 200.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 157.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 38c | 105.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…b7e3backed No | 46c | 103.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 46c | 101.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 47c | 72.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 62.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…d978backed Yes | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked No | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…9e25backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…9ba7backed Yes | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 52c | 24.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 202 | 52.5%106 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…d7a3backed Yes | 68c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.