NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72d9de05215a17d0042b8378df4329bda09e51d846d7f4abf707b7f9cc1f87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Devils, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 768 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Devils | 40c | 133,033$53,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,213.21 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lightning | 60c | 90,769$54,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,302.55 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils | 15c | 60,500$9,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,059.34 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lightning | 60c | 20,223$12,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,092.97 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Lightning | 60c | 15,555$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Lightning | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Devils | 40c | 10,625$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Devils | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Devils | 39c | 8,565$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.28 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Devils | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.89 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 60c | 6,905$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 41c | 6,093$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lightning | 76c | 6,057$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.09 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Devils | 15c | 5,688$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.26 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Lightning | 61c | 5,480$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.2 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lightning | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Lightning | 59c | 4,463$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 60c | 4,236$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.34 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Devils | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Devils | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Lightning | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Devils | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Devils | 7c | 2,900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 41c | 2,607$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 61c | 2,583$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.37 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…3f23backed Devils | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Devils | 28c | 2,487$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Devils | 29c | 2,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Devils | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Devils | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Devils | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Devils | 40c | 1,818$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.03 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lightning | 59c | 1,815$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.95 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Devils | 40c | 1,810$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.65 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Devils | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Devils | 40c | 1,702$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.74 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…f9cebacked Devils | 18c | 1,600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Devils | 26c | 1,510$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Devils | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Lightning | 54c | 1,223$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.1 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Devils | 17c | 1,151$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…a45dbacked Devils | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,082$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.31 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Devils | 40c | 1,072$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.61 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 56c | 1,043$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Devils | 30c | 1,041$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.55 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Devils | 20c | 1,032$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Devils | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…c3f3backed Devils | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Devils | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Devils | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Devils | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Lightning | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Devils | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Devils | 12c | 997.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Devils | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Devils | 40c | 937$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…3147backed Devils | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…d96bbacked Devils | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…57b7backed Devils | 41c | 846.34$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Lightning | 60c | 845.87$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a1…6b32backed Devils | 40c | 840$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Lightning | 61c | 830$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Lightning | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…f8c7backed Devils | 40c | 810$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Lightning | 56c | 764.61$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.74 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Devils | 43c | 764.11$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lightning | 60c | 708.33$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Devils | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Lightning | 61c | 675.41$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 68c | 626$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils | 39c | 617.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.75 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Devils | 40c | 605$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed Lightning | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 3c | 565.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Devils | 4c | 535.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 117 | 13.7%16 W · 101 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Devils | 12c | 503$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…449fbacked Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…3b6dbacked Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Devils | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…450fbacked Lightning | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Devils | 37c | 492.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Lightning | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Devils | 41c | 490.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…8bd3backed Devils | 41c | 469.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lightning | 73c | 431.68$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 72c | 422.66$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Devils | 40c | 400.78$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…7ec6backed Lightning | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…c728backed Lightning | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…73e1backed Devils | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Devils | 41c | 399.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Lightning | 60c | 333.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Lightning | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Lightningthis page
- Devils vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.