Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7099b2144436aa1cf6b8cd593142b5f1569850061c63758f562ee31b359caed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USC Trojansof USC Trojans, Penn State Nittany Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 39c | 60,000$23,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,379.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed USC Trojans | 61c | 55,902$34,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,801.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked USC Trojans | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.99 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 41c | 22,697$9,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,314.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 13,223$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.74 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 7,700$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USC Trojans | 27c | 7,281$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 7,081$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed USC Trojans | 66c | 6,987$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed USC Trojans | 52c | 6,417$3,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 79c | 6,300$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked USC Trojans | 64c | 5,419$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 4,801$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.43 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed USC Trojans | 63c | 4,792$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.24 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USC Trojans | 55c | 3,816$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 3,460$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.8 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed USC Trojans | 75c | 3,285$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.73 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 43c | 3,082$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.35 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 3,016$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.23 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed USC Trojans | 59c | 2,832$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 77c | 2,485$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked USC Trojans | 58c | 2,432$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 54c | 1,831$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 55c | 1,779$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.44 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked USC Trojans | 57c | 1,735$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.98 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 49c | 1,700$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.79 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 1,512$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.56 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed USC Trojans | 64c | 1,485$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans | 60c | 1,420$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 51c | 1,404$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.62 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 1,171$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.42 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…e025backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 61c | 1,154$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 39c | 1,154$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 35c | 999.96$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed USC Trojans | 50c | 992.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.83 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed USC Trojans | 59c | 982.91$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 874.42$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 865.49$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 800$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 54c | 797.5$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked USC Trojans | 45c | 768.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.51 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked USC Trojans | 39c | 754.66$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.82 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 605.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 590$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USC Trojans | 57c | 581.49$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.09 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 510$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 499.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 460$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 27c | 444$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 39c | 425.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed USC Trojans | 20c | 425$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed USC Trojans | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 54c | 392.3$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 335$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 48c | 334$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 329.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d3…d8cbbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 324.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 318$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…779abacked USC Trojans | 64c | 310$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed USC Trojans | 60c | 308.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…e59abacked USC Trojans | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 40c | 304.86$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…4279backed USC Trojans | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed USC Trojans | 62c | 297.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked USC Trojans | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 34c | 273.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 270.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.26 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…0ae9backed USC Trojans | 65c | 268.57$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 42c | 265.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 261.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…94b7backed USC Trojans | 64c | 260$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed USC Trojans | 64c | 251.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5d…243fbacked USC Trojans | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 245.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked USC Trojans | 64c | 234.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed USC Trojans | 64c | 230.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed USC Trojans | 21c | 229.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 41c | 226.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.23 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked USC Trojans | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed USC Trojans | 74c | 214.39$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 37c | 213.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 209$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…bc60backed USC Trojans | 62c | 208.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…df01backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…dcb9backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…e567backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…f665backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 26c | 194.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked USC Trojans | 26c | 190.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 186.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans | 28c | 166.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed USC Trojans | 56c | 165$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 39c | 164.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Penn State Nittany Lions | 38c | 158.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked USC Trojans | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Penn State Nittany Lions | 45c | 154.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsthis page
- Spread: USC Trojans (-3.5)Penn State Nittany Lions won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-4.5)Penn State Nittany Lions won
- USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 154.5Under won
- USC Trojans vs. Penn State Nittany Lions: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.