South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf6397bba92a2abde13c006dfb35fa0204aa0936e1228fea6355481593b4aefe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 120,000$63,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,600 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 45c | 99,862$44,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,682.51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 15,813$9,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,357.78 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 11,645$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 5,523$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.4 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 4,899$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.1 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 4,779$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 1,788$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 80c | 1,787$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 43c | 1,590$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.6 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 53c | 1,023$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.95 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 1,018$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 48c | 852.4$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 787.58$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 22c | 639.25$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 43c | 599.08$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.08 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 579.62$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.84 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 80c | 524.94$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 28c | 378.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 354$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.66 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Yes | 52c | 302.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 80c | 250.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 54c | 249.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 63c | 238.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Yes | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 53c | 204$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked No | 19c | 180.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 149.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…9a1abacked No | 21c | 131.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 76c | 129.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1d1dbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 60c | 124.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 51c | 114.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 108.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…120abacked Yes | 80c | 99.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 53c | 98.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 21c | 92.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 50c | 88.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 55c | 78.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 79c | 63.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…8883backed No | 19c | 60.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…5407backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448e…7fecbacked Yes | 79c | 59.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed No | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 54c | 55.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed No | 19c | 54.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Yes | 70c | 52.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 77c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 50c | 51.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 79c | 50.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…da85backed Yes | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5fbdbacked Yes | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Yes | 80c | 35.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…c178backed Yes | 56c | 34.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Yes | 45c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…a71abacked Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…208cbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…3013backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…4f29backed Yes | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd70…db6bbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…fb93backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…0a18backed Yes | 51c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…c04dbacked No | 53c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 18.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc7…19e6backed Yes | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…9e25backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…15ecbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. SC Recife end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.