TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Passion UAof Passion UA, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$336,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Passion UA53c151,452$80,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,191.539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed M8047c92,476$43,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,463.8621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked M8048c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Passion UA52c42,024$21,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,171.4342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked M8048c10,906$5,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,234.9623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Passion UA52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Passion UA65c6,423$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.053,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked M8050c5,955$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.863231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA55c3,550$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.081,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed M8020c2,918$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.581,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked M808c2,600$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.99185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick19cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Passion UA52c2,591$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.7884958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Passion UA53c2,466$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.427342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Passion UA56c2,417$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.274650%23 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed Passion UA72c2,332$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.685058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked M8044c2,264$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Passion UA59c2,197$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.231,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed M8048c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed M8036c1,860$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.25536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Passion UA63c1,702$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.5198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Passion UA55c1,343$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.7411937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed M8030c1,258$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.656432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Passion UA60c1,197$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.121,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8044c1,010$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.827,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed M8044c936.36$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed M8028c911.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8610053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed M8047c840.3$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3975952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Passion UA60c838.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7532653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8151…d256backed Passion UA61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed M8047c783.49$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3292152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA56c763.59$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.316,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked Passion UA66c762.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.515261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed M8045c760$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed M8047c752.7$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.772045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed M8048c730$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.426743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Passion UA79c676.99$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed M8045c653.98$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.292,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Passion UA56c584.84$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7334146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Passion UA46c568.04$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.0426360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Passion UA72c567.96$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.293265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed M808c454.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3513030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Passion UA57c351.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5875245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8049c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.55,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA60c349.54$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.264,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed M8036c340.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.816546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Passion UA60c322$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.816448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed M8030c306.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210632.1%34 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Passion UA71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed M8046c296.79$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.529256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed M8034c296.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed M8048c290$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.231731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Passion UA60c279.57$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3417944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed M8049c278.78$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.66750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed M8018c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabdf…3cbcbacked M8048c227.08$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Passion UA69c216.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.369152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Passion UA61c211.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4912752.8%67 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Passion UA52c210.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3413246.2%61 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed M8048c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Passion UA78c207.31$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4314950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked M8020c203.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4466034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Passion UA54c203.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed M8052c202.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1152947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Passion UA52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9649849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32b…90c8backed M8028c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565635.7%20 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Passion UA54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211337.2%42 W · 71 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked M8048c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9970038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e0b…7421backed M8027c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…04f5backed M8040c172.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.822025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Passion UA61c163.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3458149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed M8045c162.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.512133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38a1…9404backed Passion UA74c151.66$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.431225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1427…145abacked Passion UA66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed M8040c147.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.531,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed M8048c147$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Passion UA70c143.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0326046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Passion UA53c142.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed M8043c140.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9112653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M8045c134.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Passion UA71c133.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Passion UA65c127.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0518265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed M8029c116.34$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7113950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Passion UA53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed M8032c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.742057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed Passion UA55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked M8046c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe09c…d04fbacked Passion UA52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed M8048c92.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3926336.5%96 W · 167 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91af…4794backed Passion UA57c85.24$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked Passion UA52c85.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.811838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb0…8cc7backed M8049c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db7…73cdbacked M8033c79.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed M8048c79.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9931532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc9a…9e52backed M8018c77.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.879028.9%26 W · 64 L-9.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked M8038c76.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1211037.3%41 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Passion UA65c76.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Passion UA72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…cbc7backed Passion UA56c68$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed M8048c65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Passion UA60c60.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.