CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab07c12aeb62d82728884004ebdd430759f7993ad303e86029df7bb5a0530ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked M80 | 15c | 2,654$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Passion UA | 78c | 2,165$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed M80 | 28c | 1,328$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Passion UA | 63c | 1,195$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.7 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked M80 | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Passion UA | 56c | 572$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.68 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed M80 | 42c | 550$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 42c | 534.1$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Passion UA | 52c | 523.87$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed M80 | 21c | 429.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed M80 | 47c | 277.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e8f6backed M80 | 47c | 198.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Passion UA | 66c | 196.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed M80 | 12c | 171.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed M80 | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Passion UA | 70c | 138.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Passion UA | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 43c | 125.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed M80 | 38c | 105.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked M80 | 15c | 100.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked M80 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Passion UA | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Passion UA | 78c | 94.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Passion UA | 58c | 90.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Passion UA | 57c | 72.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed M80 | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked M80 | 29c | 51.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Passion UA | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3) - Ace North American Masters PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.