Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d51613376bd86035c381ac889d908a7bbc2e8a94132f7f74736093345fd9af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wawrinkaof Gea, Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $415,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $415,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Gea | 61c | 20,933$12,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,808.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Wawrinka | 40c | 20,069$8,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,956.67 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Gea | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Gea | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.99 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka | 44c | 14,937$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,386.52 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Wawrinka | 38c | 14,460$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,965.29 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wawrinka | 40c | 13,346$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,055.58 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gea | 61c | 12,418$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,611.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wawrinka | 28c | 12,273$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,849.87 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gea | 59c | 10,255$6,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,003.11 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Wawrinka | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Wawrinka | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.99 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Gea | 59c | 9,860$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Gea | 51c | 8,432$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.19 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Gea | 59c | 7,380$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.98 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gea | 60c | 7,245$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wawrinka | 32c | 6,762$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.96 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Wawrinka | 38c | 6,143$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.53 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wawrinka | 32c | 6,034$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.51 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Gea | 60c | 5,340$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.28 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wawrinka | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Gea | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Gea | 57c | 5,000$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.4 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Gea | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Gea | 65c | 5,000$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.2 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gea | 59c | 4,992$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Wawrinka | 47c | 4,717$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.73 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Gea | 64c | 4,699$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gea | 65c | 4,443$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.17 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Gea | 61c | 4,433$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Wawrinka | 37c | 4,297$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.71 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Wawrinka | 38c | 4,150$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Wawrinka | 31c | 3,272$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.66 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Gea | 56c | 3,236$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.69 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Wawrinka | 32c | 3,087$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Gea | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Gea | 60c | 2,950$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7b32backed Gea | 80c | 2,900$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Wawrinka | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gea | 60c | 2,540$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.84 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Gea | 77c | 2,500$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.5 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…7b6fbacked Wawrinka | 39c | 2,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gea | 59c | 2,193$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Wawrinka | 20c | 2,187$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.84 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Gea | 74c | 2,177$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Gea | 60c | 2,092$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.83 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wawrinka | 33c | 2,076$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.43 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Wawrinka | 32c | 2,055$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.47 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Gea | 41c | 2,013$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.05 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Gea | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Gea | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gea | 52c | 1,986$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.64 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Wawrinka | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.76 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Gea | 48c | 1,829$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.41 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Wawrinka | 31c | 1,794$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.72 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Wawrinka | 42c | 1,768$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.8 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wawrinka | 70c | 1,767$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.35 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Wawrinka | 78c | 1,753$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Gea | 68c | 1,341$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Wawrinka | 70c | 1,257$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Wawrinka | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc9…63d3backed Gea | 1c | 1,236$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Wawrinka | 79c | 1,208$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.78 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…d457backed Gea | 39c | 1,134$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Gea | 74c | 1,108$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.72 | 168 | 67.9%114 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Wawrinka | 36c | 1,103$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.85 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Gea | 60c | 1,070$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wawrinka | 31c | 1,052$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wawrinka | 36c | 1,050$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Wawrinka | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Wawrinka | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Gea | 66c | 964.47$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked Wawrinka | 49c | 954.06$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Gea | 66c | 935.74$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Gea | 26c | 932.3$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…5024backed Gea | 55c | 906.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wawrinka | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Gea | 62c | 900$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wawrinka | 28c | 892.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Gea | 61c | 870.34$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Wawrinka | 36c | 867.52$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.73 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Gea | 60c | 819$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Gea | 55c | 800.14$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Gea | 65c | 773.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Gea | 59c | 764.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Wawrinka | 40c | 749.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Wawrinka | 27c | 741.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.85 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Gea | 66c | 680$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Gea | 59c | 675.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Wawrinka | 60c | 667.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Wawrinka | 64c | 600.59$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc39…e02fbacked Wawrinka | 60c | 599.93$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed Wawrinka | 27c | 592.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Wawrinka | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Gea | 60c | 556.66$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Wawrinka | 40c | 556.23$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.23 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Wawrinka | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Gea | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…a1f1backed Gea | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Gea | 65c | 546.08$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkathis page
- Gea vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Gea vs. Wawrinka: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Gea vs WawrinkaGea won
- Set Handicap: Gea (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)Wawrinka won
- Set Handicap: Gea (-2.5) vs Wawrinka (+2.5)Wawrinka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.