TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Juncheng Shang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zandschulpof Zandschulp, Shang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Zandschulp44c35,036$15,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,770.4312533.6%42 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Zandschulp43c25,000$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,249.9622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shang49c11,068$5,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,406.572,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Shang57c10,237$5,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.8724448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e45…7a14backed Shang0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shang39c9,081$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,552.0711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shang57c7,443$4,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,242.5176140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Shang57c7,084$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,038.098825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ad4…5113backed Shang0c5,882$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang39c5,103$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.752,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Zandschulp43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Zandschulp43c4,700$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.988142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Shang57c4,300$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.769944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shang0c4,105$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.012,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Shang57c3,420$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.262,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Shang57c3,070$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Zandschulp42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9618047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Zandschulp47c2,980$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shang53c2,821$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.018,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Shang45c2,594$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.75457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shang57c2,470$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.91,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Shang56c2,310$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.322,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Zandschulp44c2,288$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.0526045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Zandschulp43c2,222$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.5412147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shang23c2,220$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.657,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shang56c1,790$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.3920653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Shang36c1,600$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5765444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Shang56c1,490$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.137,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shang56c1,449$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5315832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Zandschulp44c1,323$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.035036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Zandschulp67c1,319$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.141,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Shang58c1,177$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.823945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Shang8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Shang58c1,038$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012335%43 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Shang56c900$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Shang57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Zandschulp43c866.11$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.91533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Zandschulp58c852.55$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6226131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Shang58c827.59$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Zandschulp47c827.05$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.131,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Zandschulp73c780.51$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5118663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Shang52c759.12$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.231,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Shang30c753.61$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2819023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Shang28c704.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.092,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shang57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Zandschulp57c527.87$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5310043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Shang55c509.36$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9210247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Shang57c491.23$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Zandschulp43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1299139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Shang57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shang46c432.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed Shang10c428.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Shang57c421.05$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Zandschulp44c363.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6417432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Zandschulp43c337.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.213046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Shang59c310.17$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Shang57c293.6$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Zandschulp67c232.09$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6c…8fe6backed Zandschulp44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Shang45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Zandschulp43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11422744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Shang57c199.98$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9912740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shang60c185.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.692,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp44c183.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.42,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Zandschulp64c180.85$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shang56c179.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3173048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Shang36c175.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.911,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Shang57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Shang58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.516146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Zandschulp43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.422445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Shang56c172$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3211650.9%59 W · 57 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Shang58c170.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Zandschulp44c168.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.162958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Zandschulp48c168$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Shang55c167$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2538048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc301…c243backed Zandschulp44c164.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Shang25c141.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.122433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Shang56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Shang36c126.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.684835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Shang16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Shang57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Zandschulp41c117$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.034010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Zandschulp43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Shang13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Zandschulp44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Zandschulp45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Shang16c104.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7514947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Shang13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Shang58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5818863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1362…16ccbacked Zandschulp44c98.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.984540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Shang33c96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5316144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Zandschulp43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0239850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Zandschulp46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Shang59c89.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shang13c89.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.666,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Shang57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Shang58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Shang41c77.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4911122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Shang56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425425.9%14 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Shang18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.670%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.