TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Yibing Wu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spizzirriof Spizzirri, Wu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Wu35c21,745$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,523.268,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c78…f9bcbacked Wu0c18,666$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Spizzirri58c16,768$9,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,042.6822037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Wu0c13,563$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Spizzirri58c12,902$7,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,418.7976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spizzirri56c12,759$7,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,672.7711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Wu42c9,800$4,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1166541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wu28c9,757$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7192,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wu24c8,923$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.242,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Spizzirri60c5,840$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.8959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Spizzirri57c5,300$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2798142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wu40c5,059$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.352,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wu42c5,012$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.972,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Spizzirri58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Wu42c4,716$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.1524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Wu41c4,493$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.328825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xadb4…3214backed Wu62c3,880$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.612326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Spizzirri79c3,247$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Spizzirri65c3,223$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.278158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Spizzirri59c3,222$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.1533256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Wu40c3,114$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.569944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wu46c2,349$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.844,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Wu42c2,300$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96612147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Wu53c2,198$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.9514940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Spizzirri56c2,040$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Wu42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033137.2%123 W · 208 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wu12c1,874$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.492,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wu43c1,695$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.1199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Spizzirri59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9226045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wu21c1,471$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1427331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Spizzirri46c1,450$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.1734745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wu43c1,419$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.731,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wu38c1,404$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.941,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wu44c1,269$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.9231332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Spizzirri55c1,242$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.775064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Wu24c1,207$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2925722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Wu42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38aa…4aafbacked Wu12c1,069$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wu22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Wu42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1342…04c4backed Wu41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wu27c949.26$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25219023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Wu40c940$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Wu22c905.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7662545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Wu37c880$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.636540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Wu42c865$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Wu12c858.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wu41c854$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.147,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Spizzirri57c760.67$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Wu28c724$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.7247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wu47c722.81$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.486,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Wu42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Wu46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wu46c633.3$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8613351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3906backed Wu36c617.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Spizzirri59c593.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.229955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4735…d4ebbacked Wu6c530.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Wu42c519$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.984630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Wu23c501.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.972433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Wu43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2152227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Wu42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21058139.9%232 W · 349 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Wu42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…4fedbacked Wu13c475$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Wu23c455$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6530739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wu9c452.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.74599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Wu46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked Wu45c433.13$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194258%2 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.25per pick33cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Spizzirri75c423.55$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.521,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Wu48c416.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Wu43c416.06$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.331070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wu42c401$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.651,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6456…60e2backed Wu13c400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.54010%4 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-80%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Wu42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48a6…dea2backed Spizzirri59c380$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7800…6ddbbacked Wu42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Spizzirri54c344.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.446241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wu41c341.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.733,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…0053backed Spizzirri59c330$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf463…8e9dbacked Spizzirri59c325.42$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Wu42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12642141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Wu10c300$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0d…179ebacked Spizzirri59c290$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Wu10c280.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4526244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Wu28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7553752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Spizzirri69c254.87$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Spizzirri76c250.2$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.165149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wu41c244.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3273048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Wu42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Wu42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Wu43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Wu47c228.13$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10712344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Spizzirri59c227.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.127041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Spizzirri56c225.6$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.564835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Wu20c215.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.961216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Wu47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Spizzirri58c212.07$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.072445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Wu44c207.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.581,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Wu38c202.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.451,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Spizzirri59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…bc98backed Spizzirri61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.