TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Laura Siegemund

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inglisof Inglis, Siegemund
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Siegemund58c20,000$11,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,60027063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Inglis31c11,355$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,877.62,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Siegemund58c9,379$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Siegemund56c7,248$4,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Siegemund15c5,419$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.758,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Inglis42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Siegemund59c4,500$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3bb…4c36backed Inglis44c3,997$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Inglis42c3,943$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.1731332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inglis62c2,750$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.984,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Inglis61c2,741$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.0359151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Siegemund28c2,310$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.7713844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Inglis43c2,222$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.547736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Inglis44c2,084$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.7624846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Inglis73c1,827$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.456,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Siegemund59c1,800$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.9537540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Siegemund57c1,787$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.599546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Siegemund35c1,652$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.072,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Inglis43c1,651$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.9424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Inglis49c1,644$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.0111,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Siegemund31c1,468$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.382,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Siegemund33c1,342$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.2381938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Inglis74c1,300$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.748053.8%43 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Siegemund51c1,161$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1628350.9%144 W · 139 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Siegemund57c1,060$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.9476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Inglis40c992.89$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.731,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Inglis42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3823945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Inglis51c905.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8912740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siegemund57c858$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.061,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Siegemund52c776$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.121,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Siegemund53c775.86$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.387,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Inglis43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.674647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Inglis46c667.03$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.712,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Inglis26c656.67$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2719023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Inglis67c646$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.381,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Inglis58c642.28$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.913,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Siegemund62c596.85$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.655444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Inglis41c577.76$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Inglis45c544$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.991,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Inglis61c543$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.611,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Inglis43c542.56$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5329533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Siegemund56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Inglis41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.878052.7%411 W · 369 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Inglis44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5532755.4%181 W · 146 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Siegemund80c440$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3529348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Inglis42c412.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.412564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Siegemund35c370$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.662,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Inglis41c339.02$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0243448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Siegemund59c312.2$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.23537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Inglis60c273.11$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.085232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Siegemund14c254$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.039744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Inglis46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Inglis41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Inglis43c246.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5132841.8%137 W · 191 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Inglis41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Inglis41c239.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4116340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed Siegemund46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L-11.1wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Siegemund26c216.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.32433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Inglis68c201.12$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.381,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Inglis41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Inglis46c194.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8321949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5763…0201backed Inglis41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Inglis41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.25435.2%19 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Inglis24c168.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3317432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6c…178cbacked Siegemund51c168.04$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Siegemund59c167.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Siegemund42c165.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5711122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Siegemund62c161.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Inglis10c150$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Siegemund53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Inglis40c124.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.254835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Inglis42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0516158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…dc37backed Inglis42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0510654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…80d5backed Inglis42c119.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ca…9ae6backed Siegemund70c118.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.663953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Inglis64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1953752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Inglis68c111.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9192448.7%450 W · 474 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Inglis45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Inglis41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.764630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5014…5e36backed Siegemund47c106.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Inglis42c99.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Inglis23c87.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Inglis42c85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Siegemund59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Inglis54c84.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Inglis44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4338…648ebacked Siegemund58c79.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4742…4af2backed Siegemund50c78.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Siegemund34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dde…2217backed Siegemund58c69.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Inglis36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4412846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Inglis43c66.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…e1c6backed Inglis41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Siegemund21c59.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2141…a01bbacked Inglis42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Inglis43c57.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8460661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Siegemund26c56.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Inglis42c55.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.318549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Inglis41c55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32b3…ea4abacked Siegemund58c54.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.