Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Inglis vs Siegemund
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0449c6295ca6749444f167c78da4288a150e669ddfdc5387381ae1c1ce00b8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inglisof Inglis, Siegemund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Siegemund | 49c | 29,792$14,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,485.1 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed Inglis | 49c | 24,743$12,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Inglis | 54c | 3,163$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Inglis | 68c | 1,140$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…9e4ebacked Inglis | 48c | 73.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Siegemund | 65c | 69.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inglis | 37c | 42.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siegemund | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0858…37b0backed Inglis | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Inglis vs Siegemundthis page
- Australian Open Women's: Maddison Inglis vs Laura SiegemundInglis won
- Inglis vs. Siegemund: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Inglis vs. Siegemund: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.