TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Washington vs HyperSpirit (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HyperSpiritof Washington, HyperSpirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb581…0308backed Washington19c2,364$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.726457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HyperSpirit56c1,687$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.643,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed HyperSpirit55c1,238$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.5333949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed HyperSpirit61c994.42$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.971,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed HyperSpirit55c945.59$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington23c741.94$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.662,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Washington46c723.11$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.135,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f2…f52cbacked HyperSpirit55c707.62$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Washington45c672.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7350833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked HyperSpirit50c587.29$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5114742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f2…e2d7backed Washington65c559.72$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ef…a23dbacked Washington46c556$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cb…b5a0backed Washington64c542.69$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Washington2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105225%13 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+211.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Washington52c380$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.55350.9%27 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked HyperSpirit52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked HyperSpirit58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12734147.5%162 W · 179 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Washington48c293.33$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked HyperSpirit55c284.76$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7618336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Washington5c279.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Washington65c274.38$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.2811361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fdc3backed Washington27c239.32$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-82.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa6…f3b0backed Washington45c214.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3313675%102 W · 34 L+22.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5992…b61dbacked Washington47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…6e17backed HyperSpirit53c208$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a9…ebe9backed HyperSpirit53c207$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36a…1560backed Washington46c205$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2f…0b5bbacked Washington47c205$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed HyperSpirit73c204.22$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1439851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccd…e720backed HyperSpirit54c203$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ca…a7a6backed HyperSpirit54c201$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a75…38b6backed Washington46c199$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed Washington51c189.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.372466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Washington48c187.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed HyperSpirit54c187$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0215151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington46c185.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1729855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Washington56c179.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick62cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4897…1058backed HyperSpirit55c176.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed HyperSpirit48c159.77$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7724038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Washington39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.515655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Washington42c149$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8820243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d3…7030backed Washington48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.491827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc461…d4afbacked HyperSpirit55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked HyperSpirit46c123.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2322931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed HyperSpirit55c120.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.227345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Washington50c119.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington53c118.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.077,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed HyperSpirit53c107.41$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb25…0e5bbacked Washington12c105$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed HyperSpirit54c102.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.312752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaae…be70backed HyperSpirit80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb673…e574backed Washington46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…7693backed Washington45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Washington52c95.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed HyperSpirit67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Washington50c79.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed HyperSpirit67c77.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Washington29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Washington49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Washington44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed HyperSpirit35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3943442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed Washington26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Washington38c57.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4421528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cd…010bbacked HyperSpirit49c53.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.932060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Washington39c50.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7711051.8%57 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed HyperSpirit63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.518657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed HyperSpirit52c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.044148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c5…deeebacked Washington67c46.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-65.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington42c46.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbb…2349backed HyperSpirit43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked HyperSpirit53c45.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4114744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked HyperSpirit47c42.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.381942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed Washington45c39.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked HyperSpirit56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.685145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3021…c2d2backed HyperSpirit58c34.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed HyperSpirit34c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked HyperSpirit35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.55543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed HyperSpirit54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.818041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed Washington40c28.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.365343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b4…627bbacked HyperSpirit71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3e…b5a4backed HyperSpirit59c26.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked HyperSpirit65c20.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.181752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1027…966cbacked HyperSpirit55c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.