TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c12,747$9,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No75c10,626$7,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.510057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c10,448$7,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.971,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c7,316$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.72,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c6,352$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5881,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c6,185$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.976,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c5,103$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.351,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9009845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1255324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No75c3,618$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.455164.7%33 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c2,893$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.521,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c2,725$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.132420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes25c2,385$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.157332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…491fbacked No75c2,228$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c2,140$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5356437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes19c2,030$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.316548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5209134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes22c1,556$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes38c1,314$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…2b63backed No75c1,294$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes27c1,240$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4311125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes26c1,170$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.21631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick19cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes25c1,100$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2755246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fdc…3b78backed Yes25c1,080$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes24c1,028$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.716829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2209358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes34c980$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.23151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes12c906.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.776642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c899.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes19c846$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8325052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No76c770$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.5327454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No76c751.4$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3420246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No77c709.66$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.881,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226e…86ecbacked Yes25c704$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+52.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c701$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2510626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes15c685.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes19c665.74$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.387227.8%20 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-51.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcae0…9f81backed Yes41c631.71$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af2…7cafbacked No76c625$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4d…77aabacked Yes25c517.25$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.591330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes39c513.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c510.79$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.374,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes10c455.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.061533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x667c…7958backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes21c374.74$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes25c365.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes18c327.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes19c326.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Yes22c325.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.496045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…9c6dbacked Yes16c321.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+122.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c302.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes16c300.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.066240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes13c299.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes25c287.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.873630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a0…8b8cbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes22c274.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3410036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes32c274.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.857143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a80…c2babacked No76c247.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…9874backed No76c241.22$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.89966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked No76c240.38$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.691080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes25c236$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910246.1%47 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c232$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5838233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes28c207.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Yes17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7f…2ee8backed No76c193.42$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes26c191.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.759053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e5…5227backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes20c175.61$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes17c173.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305920.3%12 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5b…3772backed Yes16c154.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ee…22dbbacked Yes19c153.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c149.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7642324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44de…9a46backed Yes28c146.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes35c146.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.131225%3 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.