Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x391a35984a7b3ee58ded4d2e3f181ab17d86ac06ff27ef0e1f3a5de4358ba339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 4,427$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.01 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 18c | 2,284$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.63 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 2,053$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 1,926$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 1,401$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.41 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 1,386$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Shanghai Sharks | 76c | 1,309$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.58 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 1,062$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 963.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 675$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 550$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 402.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 354.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 344.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 217.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 210.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 7c | 191.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 165.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 10c | 144.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 132.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 124.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 120.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 114.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 108.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 102.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 99.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 93.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 88.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 79.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 77.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 69.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 63.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 62.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 59.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Shanghai Sharks | 70c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…074bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 26.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 25.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…5a1dbacked Shanghai Sharks | 78c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…b7b5backed Shanghai Sharks | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shanghai Sharks | 74c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 13.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.