Euroleague · resolved market
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60cf207ddecea98e78af683fb355544669753fb14ae473e451402ecd66aedbb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monacoof Monaco, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 2,324$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.22 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Monaco | 78c | 2,218$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 6c | 1,955$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c37…f2ffbacked Monaco | 78c | 776.65$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…8b22backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 749.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Monaco | 78c | 736.01$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 715.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 631.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Monaco | 79c | 625.17$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 542.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 5c | 512.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 496.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 395.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Monaco | 79c | 376.83$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 257.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Monaco | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 221.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Monaco | 78c | 219.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 210.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Monaco | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 179.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Monaco | 80c | 143.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…d3c9backed Monaco | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b00cbacked Monaco | 79c | 121.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 121.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 115.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Monaco | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Monaco | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 98.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Monaco | 78c | 96.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Monaco | 79c | 89.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Monaco | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Monaco | 78c | 61.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 60.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Monaco | 78c | 59.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 55.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Monaco | 70c | 55.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 53.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Monaco | 78c | 49.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Monaco | 79c | 49.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Monaco | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…ed3fbacked Monaco | 78c | 48.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 41.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Monaco | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Monaco | 79c | 23.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…243bbacked Monaco | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Monaco | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.