Euroleague · resolved market
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Jiangsu Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4bcba7f29183673ccd4e810556da107aa6ac88a1cdbb02fda434b18f1361418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guangzhou Loong Lionsof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Jiangsu Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 78c | 7,185$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.64 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 4,886$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.71 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 2,799$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.87 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 2,513$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 1,728$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 75c | 1,001$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.63 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 999.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 73c | 923.9$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 868.05$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Jiangsu Dragons | 11c | 522.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 437.92$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 70c | 382$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 345.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…88cbbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 39c | 334.15$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 66c | 309.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 299.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…3781backed Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 299.96$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 298.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 262.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 251.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 251$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 213.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 7c | 197.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 197.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 172.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…4cf6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 76c | 168.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jiangsu Dragons | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 26c | 144.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jiangsu Dragons | 14c | 134.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 129.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 128.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…f6d0backed Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 124.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b00cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 16c | 103.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…016abacked Jiangsu Dragons | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +34%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 99.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Jiangsu Dragons | 49c | 92.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jiangsu Dragons | 32c | 90.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 27c | 89.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 25c | 89.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 80.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 23c | 66.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 52.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Jiangsu Dragons | 20c | 52.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…a557backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Jiangsu Dragons | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…fae6backed Jiangsu Dragons | 32c | 44.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Jiangsu Dragons | 48c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…72f7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…d1a4backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 76cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c8…1ed7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…7879backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…d0babacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 73c | 17.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…ac08backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed Guangzhou Loong Lions | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.