Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d60225874e59deb22a9b677eda44221290617c24353f2dc6db9b206c8d10575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 10,134$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.51 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 16c | 5,973$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.02 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 4,379$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.56 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd6…2e40backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 11c | 1,711$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 1,678$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.64 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 9c | 1,478$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…bc03backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 3c | 1,149$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 939.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 16c | 726.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 24c | 668.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 616.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 19c | 571.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 31c | 520.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 392.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 20c | 377.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 35c | 356.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 350.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 330.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 286.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 35c | 270.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 36c | 235.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 12c | 195.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 168.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…a7c2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 15c | 139.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 22c | 133.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 37c | 128.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 13c | 124.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 26c | 122.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x180b…14f9backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 17c | 102.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 55c | 100.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 94.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 89.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 85.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 76.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…a264backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 21c | 72.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 68.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 62.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 56.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 53.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 29c | 53.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 23c | 50.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 42.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 40.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 40.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 40.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 39.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…b6d3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 37.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Shenzhen Leopards | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Shenzhen Leopards | 58c | 34.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 42c | 32.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 30.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…4f62backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…3531backed Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 72c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.