TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shanxi Loongs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Shanxi Loongs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Royal Fighters64c14,767$9,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,368.413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shanxi Loongs34c7,859$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.2416828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Shanxi Loongs28c1,985$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Shanxi Loongs34c1,660$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.5228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Shanxi Loongs34c1,366$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.646844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Shanxi Loongs29c1,149$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.776116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…c953backed Shanxi Loongs51c956.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Shanxi Loongs40c943.24$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Royal Fighters50c720.38$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4314037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Royal Fighters71c691.62$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.725848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Shanxi Loongs42c641.89$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.667042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Royal Fighters58c533.15$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Beijing Royal Fighters45c528.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fa…4cf6backed Beijing Royal Fighters80c494.55$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.37977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Shanxi Loongs40c438.05$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.484920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shanxi Loongs44c396.6$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8513545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shanxi Loongs26c385.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shanxi Loongs34c372.68$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2626544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.363060%18 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Beijing Royal Fighters57c292.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e9…7b35backed Shanxi Loongs38c288.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.79977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Shanxi Loongs36c278.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5020…413fbacked Shanxi Loongs24c271.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Shanxi Loongs39c245.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.639551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Shanxi Loongs29c209$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.611643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Shanxi Loongs55c204.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.594452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…1a52backed Shanxi Loongs48c200.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Shanxi Loongs65c190.94$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.786061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Shanxi Loongs63c172.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.454946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Beijing Royal Fighters72c162.08$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.585648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Shanxi Loongs35c148.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.425238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Royal Fighters51c140.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4119748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Royal Fighters43c137.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0926935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Shanxi Loongs71c119.56$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.422462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters50c114.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.246470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Shanxi Loongs38c112.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.821535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Beijing Royal Fighters62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.811455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters73c106.92$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Shanxi Loongs39c106.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.835152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x530a…4961backed Shanxi Loongs60c103.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8b…3a7fbacked Shanxi Loongs38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shanxi Loongs40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c95.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.331540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Shanxi Loongs56c94.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd6…2e40backed Beijing Royal Fighters39c92.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.57540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae9…a6d5backed Shanxi Loongs36c91.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c42…b9b3backed Beijing Royal Fighters38c84.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+111.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Royal Fighters48c83.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.525517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9df…9a8abacked Shanxi Loongs59c82.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.781770.6%12 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Shanxi Loongs37c79.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Beijing Royal Fighters52c78.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.882842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shanxi Loongs25c75.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Shanxi Loongs30c74.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.473164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Shanxi Loongs62c71.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.733740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Shanxi Loongs56c69.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.941560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Shanxi Loongs66c66.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shanxi Loongs35c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0910947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafbf…a48ebacked Shanxi Loongs61c64.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Beijing Royal Fighters63c60.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.262356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Beijing Royal Fighters62c59.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.863351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters26c58.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6620936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Shanxi Loongs71c49.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.795666.1%37 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Beijing Royal Fighters75c48.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.464374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed Shanxi Loongs39c48.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters41c48.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d4…a6d2backed Beijing Royal Fighters68c46.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5d…d8a8backed Shanxi Loongs42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bb…ae27backed Shanxi Loongs40c38.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b78…bf73backed Shanxi Loongs53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Shanxi Loongs76c34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.842475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Shanxi Loongs59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.513161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters52c30.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.572356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Beijing Royal Fighters43c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0927338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Shanxi Loongs36c29.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fce…6476backed Shanxi Loongs39c29.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e3…7c07backed Shanxi Loongs56c26.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e62…fd00backed Shanxi Loongs57c25.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ae…ce30backed Shanxi Loongs54c20.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.