Euroleague · resolved market
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dec45ec9e49f574f56275d2fe71677b01d319b3e99b0b758f40334b14141d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Golden Bullsof Zhejiang Golden Bulls, Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 3,903$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.09 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 16c | 3,250$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.3 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 2,108$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.74 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 9c | 1,344$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 1,293$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 1,288$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 21c | 973.78$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 776.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 613.81$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e74…f274backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 379.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 10c | 315.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…6787backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 274.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 244.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 15c | 156.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 151$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 77c | 125.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 112.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 101.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 15c | 97.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 28c | 81.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 72.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 65.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 75c | 65.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 70c | 56.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 55.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 53.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 23c | 52.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 27c | 50.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 43.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 25c | 42.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 70c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Zhejiang Golden Bulls | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.