Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd926caf0f9e84e8b152e2cf34952851ee5cdb3ac3679f96d3f34c5f885488e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 29c | 1,782$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.26 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 74c | 1,119$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 61c | 896.82$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 35c | 684.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 633.84$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 604.28$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 601.78$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 596.91$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 61c | 447.52$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 31c | 422$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 37c | 400.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 41c | 334.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 21c | 322.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 220.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 202.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 30c | 190.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 37c | 173.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 170.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…6ca9backed No | 35c | 115.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 113.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 108.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 104.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 93.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 53c | 91.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 75.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 73c | 67.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 64.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 63.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked No | 28c | 54.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 51.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…3e12backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed No | 29c | 45.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked No | 31c | 45.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…f3babacked Yes | 42c | 37.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 41c | 34.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 65c | 33.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…9d7cbacked Yes | 67c | 26.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…37bcbacked No | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 58c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 77c | 16.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96d…e87fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Viborg FF vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?No won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.