Euroleague · resolved market
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey King
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe57e384f30ae08a70202e997681377e923212fa2451f630f84206733d9e1d0d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Liaoning Flying Leopards, Nanjing Monkey King
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 6,283$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.43 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 2,170$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.27 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nanjing Monkey King | 14c | 1,790$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 1,322$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 76c | 717.46$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nanjing Monkey King | 9c | 716.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 67c | 640.96$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 14c | 590.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 557.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Nanjing Monkey King | 14c | 513.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nanjing Monkey King | 33c | 479.73$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 32c | 390.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 354.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 353.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Nanjing Monkey King | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 60c | 329.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 327.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 70c | 280.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 265.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 214.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nanjing Monkey King | 16c | 202.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 179.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nanjing Monkey King | 24c | 157.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Nanjing Monkey King | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 72c | 137.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Nanjing Monkey King | 39c | 123.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 119.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 17c | 113.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 80c | 110.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…50d5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nanjing Monkey King | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 19c | 98.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 14c | 90.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 26c | 87.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nanjing Monkey King | 19c | 87.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…9a8abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 65.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 57.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 52.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 48.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 39.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 65c | 37.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 41c | 35.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 78c | 34.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…0574backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…da11backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.