TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No69c4,283$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.8647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No26c2,934$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.2837138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c2,337$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.643,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c2,159$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52010045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes63c1,931$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.271866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes73c1,781$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.361957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Yes33c1,558$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No27c1,520$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes73c1,366$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5719960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes72c1,366$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0120660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes73c1,305$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7416856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No76c1,092$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.212676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes27c1,058$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.232259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No59c941.82$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.2522269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes73c824.52$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.621560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes31c807.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.05850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No8c789.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.293923.1%9 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c789.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.741643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Yes36c782.8$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes73c634.68$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes73c631.38$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No26c591.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked No6c513.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.551225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes38c510.16$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.771060%6 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+193.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes73c496.58$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes16c461.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2614761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c417.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6945140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No73c408.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No76c362.35$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.457974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes73c345.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes77c340.14$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1331834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511060%6 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.44per pick16cpaid+280.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes15c299.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.912330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcca9…af95backed No6c290.22$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.950%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c283.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.971,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No25c272.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c238.57$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No25c225.28$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes38c205.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.153834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes71c205.25$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3121545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c203.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.051,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed No11c174.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes37c173.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No56c153.92$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.453743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No27c149.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.58919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes73c148.95$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.222646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No56c144.57$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.23351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No56c141.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.384447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e98…f208backed No11c132.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes77c130.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.582560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes71c130.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No63c127.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No25c124.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No25c122.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.532055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No26c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.724326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1534…9086backed No15c102.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-29.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes63c101$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.852748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No63c96.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.619073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No23c91.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No30c91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.319052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.194553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No64c81.28$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe644…76b6backed No61c79.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes74c75.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.522842.9%12 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f60…3a69backed No20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed No28c70.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…9a8abacked Yes73c68.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No26c65.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.927542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No26c65.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.646642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked No16c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.750%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed No64c60.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.441323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes72c57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.810249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No27c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes37c48.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.843043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f5…3e64backed No38c46.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No26c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89d8…332bbacked Yes60c41.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.821464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5a…b5ebbacked Yes75c40.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No39c39.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No39c39.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked No64c38.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.381833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No40c33.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x697e…e944backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes74c20.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.353250%16 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb453…ab57backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f1…9d77backed Yes64c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No63c16.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No63c16.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes74c14.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.