TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Beijing Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Ducksof Guangzhou Loong Lions, Beijing Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf138…c953backed Guangzhou Loong Lions0c141,354$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Guangzhou Loong Lions23c26,983$6,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,183.0113046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions4c16,020$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.886116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Ducks77c8,445$6,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.716828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Beijing Ducks80c7,369$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.892927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions41c3,355$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.446346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…b380backed Beijing Ducks73c1,977$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions19c1,937$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.578611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Guangzhou Loong Lions28c1,753$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0314037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Ducks58c1,540$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64724430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Beijing Ducks67c1,463$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.792846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Beijing Ducks76c1,341$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.594946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Ducks68c1,296$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.328943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Ducks78c1,256$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.35848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions35c1,229$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.6316235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Beijing Ducks77c1,222$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.153740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Beijing Ducks76c1,132$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.552763%17 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Ducks76c1,073$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions20c1,060$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8954251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Beijing Ducks76c971.99$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.056844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Beijing Ducks64c923.8$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Guangzhou Loong Lions26c871.21$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2437052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…7ab1backed Beijing Ducks77c711.84$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Beijing Ducks60c661.19$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Beijing Ducks79c624.61$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.869551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Guangzhou Loong Lions23c583.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Ducks65c522.79$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.897462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Ducks69c502.82$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.610451.9%54 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Guangzhou Loong Lions33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1652835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…92d8backed Beijing Ducks67c474.04$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Ducks79c460.69$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9626544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Guangzhou Loong Lions21c455.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Beijing Ducks65c455.11$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Ducks77c454.16$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6613545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions33c396.11$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7218144.2%80 W · 101 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Beijing Ducks60c388.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.254042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks52c354.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1531651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Guangzhou Loong Lions43c341.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.622030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Guangzhou Loong Lions12c288.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5113220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Guangzhou Loong Lions42c270.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.849851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Beijing Ducks75c261.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.963458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Guangzhou Loong Lions38c254.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Guangzhou Loong Lions14c252.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Guangzhou Loong Lions28c250.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483b…0679backed Beijing Ducks61c228.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Ducks67c219.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.428760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da4…803ebacked Beijing Ducks55c204.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…efbebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions47c186.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.014344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Beijing Ducks79c175.87$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.332634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Beijing Ducks79c169.95$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.712236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Beijing Ducks59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Beijing Ducks59c164.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Beijing Ducks61c161.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.954151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Beijing Ducks62c158$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x440d…351fbacked Beijing Ducks78c157$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.185100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions27c146.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.552445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Beijing Ducks50c145.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.752653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions20c140.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8335234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Guangzhou Loong Lions42c140.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.792152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e1…4549backed Beijing Ducks74c138.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions22c130.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Beijing Ducks65c128.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.465271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Guangzhou Loong Lions32c127.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.316246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions19c116.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3460%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Beijing Ducks62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.811455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d34…50acbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions50c105.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Beijing Ducks76c101.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.45666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Guangzhou Loong Lions33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Guangzhou Loong Lions34c98.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Ducks61c97.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0913751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Beijing Ducks66c94.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.994452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Guangzhou Loong Lions42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.612540%10 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Beijing Ducks64c91.58$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Beijing Ducks67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Guangzhou Loong Lions31c89.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Guangzhou Loong Lions38c83.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Beijing Ducks60c82.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.145453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dab…a38dbacked Beijing Ducks60c81.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Guangzhou Loong Lions37c75.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2825517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x79bd…02afbacked Beijing Ducks66c74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Beijing Ducks71c73.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…b00cbacked Beijing Ducks67c73.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7773…26f3backed Beijing Ducks56c72.84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Beijing Ducks53c71.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.185565.5%36 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Guangzhou Loong Lions35c70.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8719748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Beijing Ducks50c68.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Beijing Ducks50c67.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…9a8abacked Beijing Ducks73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191770.6%12 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions26c60.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9720936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions35c57.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Guangzhou Loong Lions36c54.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Beijing Ducks59c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.832254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Guangzhou Loong Lions33c52.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.396848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Beijing Ducks79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Guangzhou Loong Lions33c47.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Beijing Ducks80c42.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Beijing Ducks79c41.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Beijing Ducks73c38.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.