Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47c1a96cdfe37c264f6a76466579e47091a22a8e22d35f13c12ccb1dfc924562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,074,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Yes | 59c | 245,310$144,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,607.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 155,304$65,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,099.68 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 51c | 31,796$16,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,282.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 15,673$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.16 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 33c | 14,939$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 68c | 14,822$10,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.21 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 34c | 11,785$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.13 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 11,577$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.96 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 10,120$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.92 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 51c | 9,911$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 8,601$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.59 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 20c | 8,289$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 32c | 7,660$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 32c | 7,350$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 33c | 6,992$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 34c | 6,935$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.92 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 6,858$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 34c | 6,522$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.33 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked No | 31c | 6,133$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 31c | 5,861$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.99 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 37c | 5,406$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.13 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 5,265$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.43 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 37c | 5,119$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.91 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 4,003$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.67 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 3,965$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 34c | 3,875$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 68c | 3,733$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 51c | 3,596$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5249…848fbacked Yes | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…a5fbbacked No | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 3,427$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.8 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 68c | 3,256$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.88 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 50c | 3,078$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 34c | 2,940$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.62 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 32c | 2,642$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.98 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 44c | 2,250$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.9 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 70c | 1,961$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Yes | 69c | 1,878$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 37c | 1,846$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.06 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 39c | 1,838$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.62 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,466$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.32 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 37c | 1,397$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.81 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 53c | 1,382$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.44 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 38c | 1,373$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 41c | 1,365$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.13 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,335$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 37c | 1,327$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.94 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 42c | 1,300$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.46 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 38c | 1,290$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.06 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 30c | 1,236$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.94 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.92 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 68c | 1,216$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.09 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 32c | 1,178$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.97 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 23c | 1,069$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 31c | 999.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 68c | 990$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.63 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 32c | 976.24$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.17 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 45c | 960.36$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.97 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 32c | 899.9$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 875.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 45c | 858.19$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 856.88$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 55c | 790$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 59c | 734.84$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 75c | 705.84$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.25 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Yes | 51c | 699.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 69c | 695.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 68c | 690.56$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 52c | 676.84$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.57 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 628.35$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 70c | 598.16$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 559.7$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.4 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…32fcbacked Yes | 68c | 542.64$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 33c | 515.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.