TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Nets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$769,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$841,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $769,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Nets19c161,687$30,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,753.4111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bucks80c52,789$42,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,557.8566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Nets19c47,131$8,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,954.9337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Nets20c35,113$7,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,021.4910930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Nets19c19,150$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,638.438350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets2c18,594$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.021,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Nets17c14,921$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.855030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets6c7,934$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.362,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets8c6,682$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.178,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets4c6,036$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.521,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets10c5,299$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.0165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ce…3b06backed Nets19c4,978$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.783225%8 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Bucks78c4,934$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.4825947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets19c4,576$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.1443438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets19c4,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets2c4,325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.941,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c4,150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Nets19c4,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets20c4,000$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Nets20c3,521$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.2912850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Nets20c3,441$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Nets20c3,439$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets5c3,413$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets3c3,042$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.941,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nets1c2,839$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4436023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks80c2,628$2,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Nets19c2,410$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Nets8c2,363$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.961417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets5c2,296$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Bucks80c2,276$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Nets19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699d…0501backed Nets19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets1c1,881$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.281,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Bucks80c1,865$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Nets18c1,797$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1725641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Nets20c1,719$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8323256.9%132 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Bucks80c1,698$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Nets20c1,693$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.57532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Bucks79c1,423$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.853767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Nets21c1,408$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.696237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets18c1,373$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed Bucks80c1,297$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.418834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets7c1,277$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Nets19c1,214$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.475728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets20c1,200$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23468944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Nets20c1,190$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2384358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34c7…e73fbacked Bucks80c1,186$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.121464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Nets19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2098026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c1,054$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.157211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Nets10c1,041$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.063243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Nets8c1,021$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Nets18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets7c999.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.311,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Nets10c995.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.598846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Nets4c982.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Nets12c960.58$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.14953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d6e…6b02backed Bucks80c960$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Bucks79c954.15$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0339864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Nets21c952.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.054040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Nets3c936.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8110447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84e5…3fedbacked Bucks80c926.25$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Nets10c921.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.418544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Nets19c915.29$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3724247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Nets10c780.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Nets20c771.06$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3811843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x093e…54c1backed Bucks80c741$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Bucks70c738.79$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5960549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nets27c737.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0539349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bucks79c730.04$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.311,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3852…f0bbbacked Nets20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…4067backed Nets20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Bucks80c693$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.666153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Nets20c692.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4230157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeedc…1312backed Bucks80c667.89$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e9…17eebacked Nets21c660.68$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.741216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-68.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Bucks80c617.5$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.534554.8%189 W · 156 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Nets5c600.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2822945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcf…183cbacked Bucks80c554.49$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Nets4c513.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9312227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898d…f6a5backed Nets20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked Nets31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Nets8c492.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6455316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Nets20c490.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0635546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Nets11c487.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9218632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Nets14c487.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Nets7c486.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5423058.7%135 W · 95 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Nets20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6b…340bbacked Nets20c455.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.012958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nets15c441.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets4c408.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…bde6backed Nets31c395.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.699749.5%48 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Nets22c364.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4960944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Bucks80c356.87$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.376854.4%37 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Nets20c355.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0210943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nets20c353.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nets6c348.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1924937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Nets17c344.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nets20c333.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6438432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Bucks80c325.02$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.