CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x522be2dcb9d299e46391e2c700e94ffd43bb0e2d268e58a8972c6a5eeb44d01e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof ShindeN, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed ShindeN | 66c | 1,745$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.08 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 55c | 1,375$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ShindeN | 70c | 1,346$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked ShindeN | 1c | 1,329$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus | 35c | 1,223$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.7 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Isurus | 60c | 976$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 42c | 926.93$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 71c | 602.73$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 46c | 576.32$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Isurus | 31c | 527.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.57 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 34c | 518.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 72c | 465.98$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Isurus | 51c | 381.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Isurus | 28c | 303.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 31c | 287.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Isurus | 41c | 261.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed ShindeN | 56c | 224.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Isurus | 21c | 207.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Isurus | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Isurus | 28c | 196.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ShindeN | 27c | 165$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Isurus | 45c | 163.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Isurus | 46c | 145.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Isurus | 38c | 143.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Isurus | 36c | 141.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed ShindeN | 80c | 123.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Isurus | 32c | 121.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Isurus | 29c | 107.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed ShindeN | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed ShindeN | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ShindeN | 46c | 87.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Isurus | 44c | 83.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ShindeN | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Isurus | 51c | 76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed ShindeN | 27c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Isurus | 31c | 71.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ShindeN | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed ShindeN | 42c | 65.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Isurus | 21c | 65.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed ShindeN | 63c | 63.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…d6e9backed Isurus | 35c | 59.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Isurus | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ShindeN | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Isurus | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Isurus | 31c | 34.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ShindeN | 54c | 31.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Isurus | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…7ba3backed ShindeN | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked ShindeN | 58c | 26.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ShindeN | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ShindeN | 77c | 19.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ShindeN | 75c | 13.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.