Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6250f78df69f9f33e67f9d100b655cfa4f9dccf0e9940e9a7d68a2015551fd1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Natus Vincere, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Shifters | 51c | 55,901$28,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,661.72 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 39,719$19,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,865.02 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Shifters | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…9cc6backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 13,348$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 9,728$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.79 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shifters | 49c | 7,196$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.11 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Shifters | 50c | 6,790$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shifters | 50c | 6,694$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.23 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,437$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.05 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 6,042$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.61 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 5,358$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.43 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Shifters | 46c | 5,307$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.6 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,464$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.96 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,736$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,691$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.66 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,088$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.96 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Shifters | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Shifters | 47c | 2,869$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.94 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,850$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.99 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,803$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.67 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,664$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.2 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…efcabacked Shifters | 50c | 1,552$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,379$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.67 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,174$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,165$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.01 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,026$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.27 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Shifters | 38c | 1,016$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.88 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Shifters | 49c | 999.76$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.27 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Shifters | 45c | 860.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.71 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 823.21$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 785.41$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 732.8$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Shifters | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Shifters | 39c | 599.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.39 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Shifters | 43c | 595.78$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.6 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Shifters | 45c | 578.06$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.79 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 537.05$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 529.4$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Shifters | 43c | 516.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…b4f0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 489.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Shifters | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 444.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.15 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 434.77$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…8980backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 429.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Shifters | 45c | 416.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 408.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 396.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 393.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Shifters | 51c | 386.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 375.07$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 362.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 354.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shifters | 33c | 349.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 334.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.83 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shifters | 38c | 328.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Shifters | 49c | 319.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 315.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Shifters | 50c | 315.28$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.3 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Shifters | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3524backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 282.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Shifters | 50c | 279.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d1…0501backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 274$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 255.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shifters | 50c | 246.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 239.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 237.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 232.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Shifters | 52c | 209.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Shifters | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Shifters | 43c | 194.51$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Shifters | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 167.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shifters | 48c | 166.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Shifters | 49c | 138.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 133.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 130.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 123.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…f9e9backed Shifters | 51c | 121.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Shifters | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 113.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Shifters | 32c | 113.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 109.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Shifters | 49c | 108.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.