Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc3d081ec088544228ced2cce5a08f6ae840feb892025e9a8f49621252e6bc87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 35c | 4,525$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.12 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 65c | 1,984$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.74 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 38c | 1,965$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.52 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 64c | 994.06$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.23 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 65c | 973.59$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.83 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 39c | 620.53$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.52 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 62c | 501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 62c | 501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 62c | 501$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.62 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 61c | 486.71$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.74 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 484.06$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.64 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Under | 67c | 416.49$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.05 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 61c | 391$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 61c | 387.53$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 39c | 376.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…41f4backed Under | 69c | 328.29$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.13 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 73c | 317.28$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.61 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Under | 69c | 277.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 40c | 274.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…dfadbacked Over | 43c | 206.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 59c | 171.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked Over | 33c | 142.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 61c | 142.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Over | 36c | 135.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 123.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 40c | 72.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 55c | 66.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 61c | 58.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under | 61c | 58.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 58c | 56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 29c | 46.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Under | 66c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 39.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 33c | 39.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…fa1abacked Over | 39c | 37.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 45c | 29.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 64c | 29.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 67c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.